Who are these likely voters, anyway?
After Labor Day, most pollsters start to apply “likely voter screens,” in which they attempt to identify respondents who are not just registe...
WV Mistake Corrected
Update comes later. Thanks to readers for pointing out the WV mistake (it should be solidly red). The calculation and maps above are updated to correct this error; the bias calculations have to wait until later. I must now go and get duded up for the FOX News thing (tune in, 2:45PM Eastern)…
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