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SOCIAL POSTS

Sam Wang @SamWangPhD
RT @WalshFreedom: https://t.co/iMPn0z3I8g
23 53 130
RT @MichaelWTracey: @JustinBrannan The funniest and most embarrassing part of all of this are these guys asking you if there’s any instance…
24 1 31
RT @SamWangPhD: To learn more, read a longer essay at Fixing Bugs in Democracy. Many sources cited : https://t.co/FbRE95ZJfX https://t.co/6…
1 1 3
RT @SamWangPhD: I spoke with a @thecrimson reporter who understood the strength of the evidence. Odds ratios can be eye-glazing, but tl;dr…
1 2 16
RT @GovTinaKotek: My office is reaching out to the White House and Homeland Security for more information. We have been provided no informa…
10284 7550 29058
RT @SamWangPhD: Here's the key chart from that piece. What brings significant risk: genetic inheritance (twin on autism spectrum, sibling)…
1 1 2
To learn more, read a longer essay at Fixing Bugs in Democracy. Many sources cited : https://t.co/FbRE95ZJfX https://t.co/6Jr8KAHJMw
1 1 3
P.S. If anyone wants to see it, a funnel plot of the Baccarelli study looks like this. Basically points toward a minuscule effect, and one can't rule out no effect at all. https://t.co/z9Y7UZtTZS
1 0 1
RT @SamWangPhD: Here, a deep dive into the actual evidence. As it turns out, even if one takes the claim at face value, the raw result is t…
2 1 3
I didn't know about the $150,000 consulting fee. I'm not 100% sure that is damning per se. I *would* fault him for misinterpreting great studies (Ahlqvist 2024, Liew 2016) and giving equal credence to studies with as few as 215 subjects (seriously, go look at Table 2). /end
1 0 0

Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

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Highlights

Tuesday, November 5, 2024

Senate

Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up

House

Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%

Presidential

Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC

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Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

About

Established in 2004 by Sam Wang, the PEC serves to to provide informed analysis of US national elections by members of the Princeton community.

Methods

The insights and predictions published on this site are derived from a large collection of polling organizations, and computed through MATLAB scripts.

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