Who are these likely voters, anyway?
After Labor Day, most pollsters start to apply “likely voter screens,” in which they attempt to identify respondents who are not just registe...
Poll Closing Times; NH the first Predictor
Poll closing times are listed here. The earliest bellwether is NH (poll average Kerry +2.9 ±1.1%, n=7). Kerry by 5-7% would be consistent with my final assumptions. Next is WV. Let’s see what happens.
Topics: