All pain, whose gain? The surprising implications of a new legal theory for redistricting
(cross-posted with my new Substack) Lots of pixels have been spilled on a legal theory once considered fringe, the Independent State Legislatu...
Partisan gerrymandering, the origin story
Where did this decade’s festival of partisan gerrymandering come from? Dave Daley dives into a trove of documents by Thomas Hofeller and other architects of the grand plan to make hundreds of Congressional and legislative seats uncompetitive after the 2010 Census.
Topics:
Suppose Republican gerrymanderers are really successful in packing Democrats in just a few “safe” districts, and also cracking the Republicans into districts that are just barely Republican. This gives the Republicans an advantage. But when the party climate shifts toward Democrats, a lot of those carefully crafted Republican districts will become toss-ups or even lean Democratic. (Mutatis mutandis for Democratic legislatures’ gerrymanders.)
Interesting to watch it play out.
https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/30/politics/2018-state-of-play-analysis/index.html
Agree. http://election.princeton.edu/2013/10/11/has-the-shutdown-leveled-the-house-playing-field/
Note that this is exactly what happened to Elbridge Gerry’s original Gerry-mander
Because what goes without saying should be said:
https://academic.oup.com/poq/advance-article-abstract/doi/10.1093/poq/nfx047/4837043
Freebie version:
http://www.aapor.org/Education-Resources/Reports/An-Evaluation-of-2016-Election-Polls-in-the-U-S.aspx