All pain, whose gain? The surprising implications of a new legal theory for redistricting
(cross-posted with my new Substack) Lots of pixels have been spilled on a legal theory once considered fringe, the Independent State Legislatu...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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The path to redistricting reform in North Carolina has gone through federal courts – but looks shaky at the moment. New in the Washington Post, Rick Ober and I point out a second path, through state courts. This second path does not require a federal standard!
Also in the Post, here’s a beautiful visualization of the causes and consequences of the Tar Heel Gerrymander.
Off topic
LIve polling at NYTimes
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-polls.html
Interesting to see they only get a 2% response rate.
Any way to quantify a comparison of election effects of gerrymandering vs election effects of voter suppression?