Gambling is a vice. But putting that aside, looking at TradeSports I think that a good cautious bet is to take equal positions against “Bush to win the election” (i.e. SELL, a bet that he loses) and against “Bush to win 250 or more EV” (i.e. SELL, a bet that he gets <250 EV). One way to do this quickly is to click on ‘Live Help’ at their site and telling the support representative you want to do a manual credit card charge. Other sites to try are here and here.