Who are these likely voters, anyway?
After Labor Day, most pollsters start to apply “likely voter screens,” in which they attempt to identify respondents who are not just registe...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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Tune in to FOX News on Saturday (tomorrow) around 2:45PM, when I am scheduled to talk about the meta-analysis.
I am traveling today until evening, so the next update may be late in coming. If nothing shows up in the next four hours, check back late tonight. I also hope to have the briefing sheet I promised before, but other events have slowed me down a bit and I might not have a good version until Sunday. In the meantime, the fastest state poll updates can be found at race2004.net and The Hedgehog Report.