Who are these likely voters, anyway?
After Labor Day, most pollsters start to apply “likely voter screens,” in which they attempt to identify respondents who are not just registe...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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That was a fascinating experience. So much was left out but I did get to say my piece. After we cut, the FOX guy asked me what I really thought would happen. I said I thought Kerry would get over 300 electoral votes. Of course this happened afterwards. Typical television – very compressed. Real analysis soon – sorry about lack of substance on this post.