New rules
As we head into the last five weeks of the campaign, polls are coming more frequently. In response, we are making two changes to the Meta-Analysi...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
Click any tracker for analytics and data
Andrew says there was “a routing problem this morning between the University and quite a few outside websites — a split in the internet, if you will.” For the next EV estimator update, check back at noon…
Hi, Sam. Thanks for the great analysis. I like the median EV estimator with timeline events and the visualization of the electoral map with proportional areas. On the median estimator, it might nice to throw in a couple of key national events (such as those related to the economic downturn) that are influencing the race.