Exceptionally Low Turnout Can Account For Polling Errors
At The American Prospect: Tweet In the home stretch, I wrote that midterm polling is far less accurate than in Presidential years. Today, in The...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
Click any tracker for analytics and data
I’ll be on CNN (Smerconish, sometime between 9 and 10) and MSNBC (Up with Steve Kornacki, live between 9 and 9:30). Key point on CNN (watch it here): is this Tuesday’s election an Obama referendum, or an echo of previous wave elections in 2008 and 2010?
Sam, you’re becoming a go to expert for poll watching.
Any idea which one first etc ? Remotes will have to click I guess.
Sorry, no. Though I do know the MSNBC one will be during the first half-hour, somewhere between 9:00 and 9:30.
Hey Sam,
You’ll know that you’ve really made it when you get to play “Up Against the Clock” on Steve’s show 🙂 🙂
I could practice by reviewing the locations of counties in New Hampshire.
Sam Wang competing against Sam Wang at 9:18 — MSNBC and CNN simultaneously. WOW
Likely that little contre temps between Scott Brown and that journalist (even though the journalist was not technically correct) highlighted the carpet bagging issue enough to make it clear that Scott Brown is so desperate to be a senator that any state will do.