All pain, whose gain? The surprising implications of a new legal theory for redistricting
(cross-posted with my new Substack) Lots of pixels have been spilled on a legal theory once considered fringe, the Independent State Legislatu...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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Today the Princeton Gerrymandering Project filed an amicus brief in which we evaluated the North Carolina General Assembly’s remedial maps. The maps were submitted to the Superior Court as part of the Court’s order to undo a partisan gerrymander of the state Senate and House. I’ve written previously about the House and Senate plans. Our amicus brief goes into more detail, county cluster by county cluster.
The brief is here (and errata to correct a few errors here). We’ll post supporting files from this link once they are cleaned up.
This was a group effort – many thanks to Aaron Barden, Hannah Wheelen, and Hope Johnston on the PGP team. The analytics were a PGP-PlanScore collaboration. Finally, a big shout out of thanks to Press Millen, our counsel in North Carolina!
Keep up the great work Sam, Aaron, Hannah and Hope!
Citizens were not involved, as you indicated. I went up to the Buncombe County board of elections the week when the re-drawing of the maps of the state legislature was taking place and they had no idea it was going on and they are not stupid.
Did you see the latest map they are trying to do? Senator Jeff Jackson posted it. It’s absolutely ridiculous and still gerrymandered.
https://twitter.com/JeffJacksonNC/status/1192463043109761025