Assessing the effect of the bounce [currently Obama 324, McCain 214]
We are at the end of several very eventful weeks. The finale is, of course, tonight: McCain’s acceptance speech at the Republican convention (a...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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Via Andrew Sullivan: a new Rasmussen poll says that among undecided voters, 6% say it would make them more likely to vote for McCain, 31% said less likely, 49% said no impact, and 15% said not sure. In the same survey, 59% of undecideds said Palin was unready to be president; 6% said she was. The same survey indicates that McCain’s existing supporters seem to like her.
Also, the McCain campaign seems to be learning only now about some major problems (update: it sounds serious). Are they getting into Thomas Eagleton territory? Criticism from the right: Ramesh Ponnuru, Charles Krauthammer, David Frum.