Exceptionally Low Turnout Can Account For Polling Errors
At The American Prospect: Tweet In the home stretch, I wrote that midterm polling is far less accurate than in Presidential years. Today, in The...
Geek’s Guide To The Election, 2014 edition
Download it! It includes instructions for estimating Delta. Liveblogging will start around 8:00pm.
Useful links (will add as day goes on):
HuffPollster: Senate Election Live-Tracker.
DailyKos Elections, hour-by-hour guide.
New York Times, The Upshot, Senate tracker.
Topics:
It’s not expected to be close, but shouldn’t your guide include the Michigan senate race?
Maybe I should have. However, there is no suspense in Michigan tonight. D+13.5%.
Thanks, Sam. I was just confused because you do include similar blowouts in MT, MS, and SD.
Truthfully, I used the vote-power list to construct that. It was a bit messy of me.