All pain, whose gain? The surprising implications of a new legal theory for redistricting
(cross-posted with my new Substack) Lots of pixels have been spilled on a legal theory once considered fringe, the Independent State Legislatu...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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Just in: oral arguments in Gill v. Whitford will take place at 10:00am on Tuesday, October 3rd. It’s the second day of the fall term.
More big cases in October sitting — travel ban, gerrymandering, arbitration, immigration detention, ATS — than in all of last term pic.twitter.com/71dmkBfwvh
— Adam Liptak (@adamliptak) July 19, 2017
Question on finding partisan gerrrymandering unconstitutional – does it depend on mathematical arguments, or does it depend on which party controls 5 votes on the supreme court?
Five votes. Based on constraints from past decisions, simple statistical arguments would thread the needle nicely, and perhaps be cited when that fifth vote writes the decision.
Got it – thus the focus on J. Kennedy …