State polls – fresher than you think
As you can see, the Meta-Analysis has taken a downtick. This suggests that the race has leveled off – or may drift toward parity a bit. Notably...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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(From Bob Vanderbei, chair of Operations Research and Finance. -Sam)
The primaries are well behind us but I thought I might point out that I’ve made some “Purple Primary” maps. You can check them out here. Of course, in the primaries, the races were intra-party. Hence, purpality is only a measure of voter turnout, which depends on many things, perhaps mainly the closeness of the intra-party race. Nonetheless, you might find the maps interesting. I’ll make a new Purple America map as soon as possible after the election.