Review of The Signal and the Noise
In Science magazine, Ben Campbell and I have a review of Nate Silver’s book, The Signal and the Noise. Briefly…it was good for people wh...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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InTrade has a new political contract: Sarah Palin to be withdrawn as Republican VP nominee before 2008 presidential election, now trading at 12.0. Buy or sell? I’m thinking buy. (Update: strong buy.) (Update 2: That speech got the base excited – indeed, it may end up being the highlight of the convention. And she established her attack-dog credentials. Once she resurfaces, I guess we’ll get more of that. One last blast of Palin news during this polling hole: hooray for earmarks and the Bridge to Nowhere!)