Gerrymandering notes: how many votes to take House, 1992-2012
Dear PEC Readers, we’re going casual tonight. This is for frequent visitors and those of you on the RSS feed. I’ll explain… I’m prepar...
In the New Jersey governor’s race, recent polls show the Corzine-Forrester margin as 8% (48-40, Fairleigh-Dickinson, 10/4-9), 2% (47-45, Marist, 10/5-6), 7% (44-37, Star-Ledger, 10/3-6), 9% (43-34, Monmouth, 9/21-26), and 4% (48-44, Quinnipiac, 9/20-25). The average margin is Corzine ahead of Forrester by 6.0 ± 1.3% (mean ± SEM). That puts Corzine 4.6 sigma ahead of Forrester, a statistically very large margin. Oct. 20: more recent data here and at BlueJersey.