Who are these likely voters, anyway?
After Labor Day, most pollsters start to apply “likely voter screens,” in which they attempt to identify respondents who are not just registe...
Several interesting and good articles about exit polls. Here is a piece in the Washington Post about demystification of exit polls. Also, in this week’s New Yorker is a great article by Louis Menand on a meeting that took place at Stanford at which pollsters discussed the interpretation of this year’s results. Essentially, they think the values talk is a misinterpretation of a bad question. The article argues that it was essentially terrorism (i.e. 9/11) that swung it for Bush. The article is print only – go get it. The December 6 issue.