Gerrymandering notes: how many votes to take House, 1992-2012
Dear PEC Readers, we’re going casual tonight. This is for frequent visitors and those of you on the RSS feed. I’ll explain… I’m prepar...
Senate: 48 Dem | 52 Rep (range: 47-52)
Control: R+2.9% from toss-up
Generic polling: Tie 0.0%
Control: Tie 0.0%
Harris: 265 EV (239-292, R+0.3% from toss-up)
Moneyball states: President NV PA NC
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(original version released November 1, 3:45pm on temporary site)
I miss my commenters! Let’s see if Facebook-based threads are sustainable. Open discussion thread for the Presidential race. Ro-mentum, early voting, whatever…have at it!
So, will the statistical models eventually have enough data to eliminate the actual physical act of voting? If we know the score without the game, will someone see a savings in just running the data until a deadline and calling it?