Good morning. I’ve switched to a short-term prediction. Click on the history to see it.

Today the Meta-Margin is Obama +5.4%, the highest value so far of the general campaign. The yellow “watch zone” includes 353 EV, also a high.

I’m experimenting with flavors of comment moderation. Don’t mind the confusion.

General announcement: if anyone has reliable values for post- vs. pre-redistricting PVI, email me. I’m working on something. Update: found one source.