Category: Uncategorized
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Herding, or judgment?
After all the canvassing, donation, and activism, tonight now we observe. Later this afternoon I will publish the Princeton Election Consortium biennial Geek’s Guide to the election. It will detail what I will be watching. This is also an open thread – please chime in. I may host a Zoom call tonight as well – stay…
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Jersey Strong
(cross-posted from Fixing Bugs in Democracy) Best estimates are that many political questions are on a knife edge right now: the Presidency, control of the U.S. Senate, and control of the U.S. House, not to mention 10 state legislatures, abortion rights in 10 states, and improvements (and degradation) of the democratic process itself in 10…
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Democracy Moneyball
We’re back! With the replacement of President Joe Biden by Vice-President Kamala Harris in the 2024 race, donors are coming out of the woodwork. Math can help maximize the potential impact of their money – and direct it to places where it can have maximum impact downticket. Today I want to write about how the…
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Geek’s Guide To The Election 2022
Here’s what I will be watching. Follow along in this Google Sheet. I’ll try to add a polling-error graphical calculator later.