Princeton Election Consortium

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Today on WHYY Radio Times

October 19th, 2017, 5:18am by Sam Wang

Today at 10:00am Eastern, WHYY Radio Times host Marty Moss-Coane will have me on to talk about partisan gerrymandering. Her other guest is Carol Kuniholm of Fair Districts PA. Pennsylvania is the largest gerrymandered state and there are several lawsuits brewing, so our discussion will be most timely.
Tune in (90.9 FM) or listen on streaming audio!

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Politics & Polls: What I saw in the Supreme Court

October 12th, 2017, 5:16pm by Sam Wang

Julian Zelizer and I talk about partisan gerrymandering, what I saw when I attended oral argument in Gill v. Whitford, and what it means for reform efforts nationwide. All in the new Politics & Polls.

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Data Science in 30 Minutes: Partisan Gerrymandering

October 11th, 2017, 8:59pm by Sam Wang

Here’s a webinar on how data nerds can help fight partisan gerrymandering: You can help by joining state-level efforts, and by supporting our work.

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Support our gerrymandering work!

October 11th, 2017, 7:19am by Sam Wang

We are engaged in nonpartisan analysis to help understand the causes of partisan gerrymandering, and develop tools to fix it through court action and through citizen-led reform efforts in states. For example, our amicus brief in last week’s Supreme Court case may be useful to them as they write their decision – and, depending on that ruling, to lower courts as the decision is implemented.

To learn more about our analysis, which meets legal constraints set in place by the Court (and even addresses objections by conservatives such as Justice Samuel Alito), read our amicus brief or watch our great explainer video. For a deep dive into why partisan gerrymandering has soared, see our piece in The American Prospect.

If you are interested in supporting the project, there are two ways to contribute:

  • Visit our Benefunder page to learn about what we plan to do next, and to donate; or
  • Contact Princeton University Development officer Thomas Roddenbery, who can help you.

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Making Every Vote Count: Election reform and the National Popular Vote Compact

October 7th, 2017, 11:02am by Sam Wang

This morning I was on CNN (watch it here) with Mike Smerconish to talk about replacing the Electoral College with a national popular vote. There’s a practical strategy for doing so: state-level legislation, in the form of the National Popular Vote Compact.

Some of the reasons for implementing a national popular vote may surprise you. One big reason is security. Today’s Electoral College opens a giant security hole. Hackers can target as few as five states to swing an election.

Another reason has to do with the fact that many communities are not represented in the swing states. To name a few: Mormons, Southern Baptists, and Americans of Puerto Rican descent all get left in the cold. Also, despite what you may believe, small states are mostly left out of influence.

Read more at Making Every Vote Count. Washington-area people, the national rollout occurs this Thursday morning at the National Press Club.

→ 6 CommentsTags: President · U.S. Institutions

What the Supreme Court didn’t say…yet

October 3rd, 2017, 8:51pm by Sam Wang

This bingo card turns out to be a fairly apt explanation for what did, and did not, happen during oral arguments today.
First, a bit of color: I sat behind Bill Whitford, and to his right was former California Governor Arnold Schwarznegger. In front of them was Wisconsin Senator Tammy Baldwin. That was cool.

Anyway, note the failure to make bingo above – and what is missing. [Read more →]

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Tom Petty

October 3rd, 2017, 6:36am by Sam Wang

This was the first Tom Petty song I loved.
So much bad news in the world. The biggest mass shooting in U.S. history. The rapid erosion of norms in our government’s institutions. Climate change-induced intensification of hurricanes, and the ensuing disaster in Puerto Rico. The post-apocalyptic imagery in the video above seems fitting.

However, there is a bright spot: U.S. science. Rosbash, Hall, and Young richly deserve their Nobel Prize for working out the genetics and molecular mechanisms of circadian rhythms. Surely every one of you has an opinion about whether you got enough sleep last night. Circadian rhythms are a central feature of our lives, and are critical for health. Their work was done in a small fly, Drosophila melanogaster, and the basic principles all apply to us. This prize, for molecular neuroscience, is a pinnacle of basic research, one that was made possible by the greatness of American scientific establishment.

Today, the Nobel Prize in Physics goes to Weiss, Thorne, and Barish, for the discovery of gravitational waves. Again, a milestone in basic research.

Off to the Supreme Court, to see whether (statistical) science cuts any ice with them.

→ 1 CommentTags: 2014 Election

Gill v. Whitford

October 1st, 2017, 12:08pm by Sam Wang

On Tuesday at 10:00am, the Supreme Court will hear oral arguments in the case of Gill vs. Whitford, which concerns extreme partisan gerrymandering. Justice Ginsburg has suggested, with some justification I think, that this could be the most important case of the Court’s term. The tone and content of oral arguments are often predictive of the outcome. I will attend in person. And of course I will be watching the leaderboard at FantasySCOTUS.

As PEC readers know, my interest arises from my analysis which offers a standard that meets legal constraints set in place by the Court. Read our amicus brief or watch our great explainer video. For a deep dive into why partisan gerrymandering has soared, see our piece in The American Prospect.

The outcome is likely to hang on the vote of Justice Anthony Kennedy. To quote Amy Howe of SCOTUSblog:

…the state’s ability to muster the five votes that it needed to put the lower court’s order on hold could bode poorly for the challengers, because one factor that the justices had to consider in making their decision was whether the state is likely to succeed on the merits of its claim. On the other hand, the case appears to have been scheduled for oral argument earlier than it might normally have been: Although the justices did not announce until June 19 that they would review Gill v. Whitford, it leapfrogged over several other cases (including two granted in February, two granted in March and one granted in April) to take a spot on the October argument calendar. That could suggest that the justices intend to try to decide the case quickly, which would in turn allow new maps to be drawn sooner even if the district court’s order is not in effect.

Attendees are not allowed to speak in the courtroom. Otherwise the bingo card above could help while the time away!

→ 9 CommentsTags: Redistricting

Job opportunity – Computational Research Analyst, Gerrymandering and Redistricting

September 28th, 2017, 11:57pm by Sam Wang

The Gill v. Whitford oral argument gives new importance to this announcement. -Sam, 10/4/2017

The Princeton Gerrymandering Project is hiring! We’re looking for a computational research analyst to do geography-intensive calculations, test our simple statistical standards, and close loopholes in proposed reform efforts. It’s a full-time position, available immediately. Computational skills and an interest in U.S. election law are essential. The job ad is here.

→ 4 CommentsTags: Redistricting · Site News

New Dataset: State Legislative Elections, 1971-2012

September 26th, 2017, 12:00pm by brian

I’m pleased to say that the Princeton Gerrymandering Project has just published a new dataset of state legislative elections from 1972 to 2012. This database covers over 500 election/state/year combinations, and contains over 72,000 elections. The election results can be downloaded here, and the code can be viewed on github. The dataset is based on Carl Klarner’s candidate-level state legislative data, cleaned to remove multi-member elections and other issues.

For us, it’s a resource to analyze redistricting and gerrymandering. For you, it’s whatever you want to use it for.

We’ll eventually combine these with information about partisan control to extend our gerrymandering analysis of legislative chambers, which currently spans 2012-2016. Stay tuned for that, as well as information about the district maps under which each election was held!

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