Princeton Election Consortium
A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004
Jul 15: Biden 372 EV (D+5.9% from toss-up), Senate 53 D, 47 R (D+5.6%), House control D+8.0%
Moneyball states: President AK AR IA, Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC
Moneyball states: President AK AR IA, Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC
House and Senate 2020
House:
Senate:
Code on GithubState Margin Voter Power MT Bullock +3.5 100.0 KS Bollier +1.0 73.5 ME Gideon +4.0 72.2 IA Greenfield +2.5 58.8 KY Tie +0.0 36.9 NC Cunningham +2.0 20.2
Data and outputsThe Princeton Gerrymandering Project
Brain Books by Sam
Electoral index funds
Democrats (redistricting):
Republicans (redistricting and U.S. Senate):
Democrats (U.S. Senate):
President 2020
EV estimator over time
Meta-margin above toss-up:
All data and outputsState Margin Voter Power AK Trump +3.0 100.0 AR Trump +2.0 95.1 IA Trump +1.0 72.4 AZ Biden +0.8 56.0 GA Biden +2.0 54.8 FL Biden +6.0 53.5 OH Biden +1.0 52.4 NJ Biden +19.0 0.0
