Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries Tagged as 'Site News'


July 6th, 2016, 11:01am by Sam Wang

We are repairing a problem in our HuffPollster feed. We were not scraping states with few polls, and in those cases were using 2012 election results. This is now corrected. Current polls make the following states closer by at least three percentage points compared with 2012: AR, CO, CT, KS, ME, TN, TX, and WA. […]

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Tags: 2016 Election · President · Site News

(On-campus) research assistant wanted

February 28th, 2015, 6:30am by Sam Wang

I’m looking for a research assistant at Princeton to work on a gerrymandering project at a scholarly level, i.e. for academic research. It will also have practical implications. There’s a posting at the Student Employment office – look for posting #35677! For now, students only please.

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Tags: 2012 Election · 2014 Election · 2016 Election · Princeton · Site News

A draft of a paper on the Meta-analysis

October 7th, 2013, 8:27am by Sam Wang

Dear readers, I’ve been invited to write an academic article on the Meta-analysis. I’m horribly late with it…but I do have a draft. I’d be interested in your thoughts and reactions. I’m sure I have not done justice to some important topics. The article text is here (PDF) and the figures are here (6.7 MB […]

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Tags: 2004 Election · 2008 Election · 2012 Election · Site News

The mailbag

January 5th, 2013, 4:00pm by Sam Wang

Gerrymandering makes for interesting mail! Here are some excerpts from activists, a journalist, political scientist, and a few redistricters.

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics · Redistricting · Site News

PEC in the news

November 4th, 2012, 10:00am by Sam Wang

Here’s some Princeton Election Consortium news (and about poll aggregation generally): Upcoming: Monday KCRW 2:00pm ET with Mark McKinnon, Sasha Issenberg, and Ron Brownstein.Tuesday WNYC 12:30pm ET with Leonard Lopate. Recent radio: KPCC Los Angeles, Colorado Public Radio, NPR’s Science Friday with Flora Lichtman and Nate Silver. Articles in Deadspin and Wired about the aggregation-hating […]

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Tags: 2012 Election · Site News

We’re back!

November 3rd, 2012, 1:04pm by Sam Wang

At last, we’re back. Andrew is a hero! Restoring the last few days of contenthere ┬ánow… Update: Done, with some modifications. If you like the temporary look see If any temporary-site URL gives an error, replace “election” with “synapse.” Comments please!

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Tags: Site News

Test – Facebook open thread

November 1st, 2012, 3:45pm by Sam Wang

(original version released November 1, 3:45pm on temporary site) I miss my commenters! Let’s see if Facebook-based threads are sustainable. Open discussion thread for the Presidential race. Ro-mentum, early voting, whatever…have at it!

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Tags: 2012 Election · Meta-analysis · Site News

Blown away

October 29th, 2012, 11:11pm by Sam Wang

Not by Sandy, though the winds are pretty high (check out this excellent moving representation). I’m more blown away by the web traffic over the last few weeks. Take a look.

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Tags: 2012 Election · Site News

Offline for a moment…

October 28th, 2012, 9:08pm by Sam Wang

I must relocate the server in light of the imminent hurricane strike. Don’t be concerned if we go away for a bit. Update: back. Fingers crossed!

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Tags: Meta-analysis · Site News


October 1st, 2012, 8:00am by Sam Wang

Good morning. I’ve switched to a short-term prediction. Click on the history to see it. Today the Meta-Margin is Obama +5.4%, the highest value so far of the general campaign. The yellow “watch zone” includes 353 EV, also a high. I’m experimenting with flavors of comment moderation. Don’t mind the confusion. General announcement: if anyone […]

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Tags: 2012 Election · Site News