Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries Tagged as 'Redistricting'

Sam on The New Abnormal (again)

October 2nd, 2020, 8:57pm by Sam Wang

Molly Jong-Fast and Rick Wilson had me back on their podcast, The New Abnormal! So pleased that they had me back. Molly is total fun, and so disrespectful. We talked elections of course, with a focus on Moneyball 2020. Many of you are focused on the Senate (which is swinging toward Democrats, thanks to Alaska […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · House · Moneyball · Redistricting · Senate

An “effective altruism” approach to the election

September 28th, 2020, 3:21am by Sam Wang

September 29: Modified to take into account change in Florida ratings. If you’ve been giving to races we’ve identified as high voter power, you may have noticed that once in a while, we make small changes. The reason is that our best estimate of return on investment responds to events or additional analysis. We will […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Redistricting · Senate

The New Gilded Age, By The Numbers

September 24th, 2020, 1:26pm by Sam Wang

We’re in an exceptionally difficult time in our nation’s political history. A combination of economic stagnation, partisan polarizations, and demographic change has brought us to the point of losing our national consensus on what it means to have a United States. Is there any hope? Professor Jack Balkin says yes. In his new book, The […]

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Tags: 2016 Election · 2020 Election · Politics · President · Redistricting

Electoral innovation at Princeton

September 21st, 2020, 10:22pm by Sam Wang

Many of you are making use of the donation links in the right sidebar. In addition, I call your attention to our own work. We are working in multiple areas: optimizing voter effectiveness in elections, fair districting, and voting reform. This year, we are bringing together all these projects under one umbrella, the Electoral Innovation […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Princeton · Redistricting

Florida voter-registration update

September 21st, 2020, 1:52pm by Sam Wang

In Florida the voter registration deadline is two weeks away, on October 5. Florida is a critical state for both the presidency and state legislative control over redistricting. My team at the Princeton Gerrymandering Project has determined that Florida is one of a handful of states where elections (as opposed to reform) are the main […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

The Senate polling desert

September 16th, 2020, 8:49am by Sam Wang

Plenty of polls for the Presidency – but there’s a polling desert in all-important Senate races. How does this affect your activism? There are two places where you can hedge your efforts, either by preventing gerrymandering for a decade or by influencing the Presidential race.

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Tags: 2020 Election · Redistricting · Senate

Florida Moneyball, 11th Circuit edition

September 13th, 2020, 11:07am by Sam Wang

This week the 11th Circuit issued a shocking opinion curtailing voting rights in Florida. Over half of ex-felons in Florida are now excluded from registering to vote, because first they have to pay fines, fees, and restitution – effectively, a tax on voting. In response to this, we suggest that a solution. Our Redistricting Moneyball […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

New PEC feature: 50-State Guide to 2020 Elections

September 1st, 2020, 8:00am by Zachariah Sippy

While the Presidential election is hogging most of the attention, there are literally thousands of other races on the ballot. All 435 US House of Representatives seats, and a large Senate class (35 elections) are up for grabs. These races will have a massive impact on legislation and the composition of federal courts. Our 50-state […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Redistricting

As Ohio goes, so goes…a fairer map?

August 16th, 2020, 2:50pm by Zachariah Sippy

Since the start of the 20th century, only twice has Ohio failed to support the national Presidential winner (in 1944 and 1960). Thus the common political adage, “as Ohio goes, so goes the nation.” That seems not to be true in 2020, since Ohio is now a few points more Republican than the median electoral […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

Redistricting Moneyball – the web event!

August 12th, 2020, 2:41pm by Sam Wang

If you’re coming here because of the NYT article by Thomas Edsall, welcome! Come to our event where we explain what we’re up to. Last week we unveiled “Redistricting Moneyball,” the Princeton Gerrymandering Project strategy to stop gerrymandering in 2021. On August 12 we had a videoconference to explain the model. We encourage everyone to watch […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · Redistricting