Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries Tagged as 'Redistricting'

Ten proposals for bettering democracy

October 29th, 2020, 10:46pm by Sam Wang

In this year’s election, voters around the nation will decide on proposals to change how democracy works. At the Fulcrum, Sara Swann gives the rundown on ten of those proposals. We’ve gone into some of them in depth. For example, the Virginia redistricting reform is reviewed over at the Princeton Gerrymandering Project. Broadly, all of […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Redistricting

Texas talk with Beto O’Rourke

October 28th, 2020, 11:45pm by Sam Wang

In the latest Fixing Bugs In Democracy, Beto O’Rourke and I dive into his efforts to flip the Texas House to Democrats and bring about bipartisan Congressional redistricting. I followed that up with a second guest, Dave Daley. Dave and I talked about Redistricting Moneyball, as well as a new tech tool for citizens to […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

Redistricting Moneyball – train’s leaving!

October 27th, 2020, 9:35pm by Sam Wang

One week to Election Day. Time’s running out in various ways. For example, if you haven’t mailed your ballot yet, plan to either drop off your ballot or vote on Election Day. You can do it! It’s also time to give one last push to state legislative races.

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

The road leads back to you, sweet Georgia

October 26th, 2020, 9:20pm by Sam Wang

As I wrote the other day, federalism itself is on the ballot this year. Two notable events today with the Supreme Court demonstrate that point – and emphasize how important your activism is in shaping which way the nation goes.

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Tags: Redistricting

The Texas downticket, with Beto O’Rourke

October 26th, 2020, 5:00am by Zachariah Sippy

Join us on Tuesday at 5pm eastern for a conversation with former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (D-TX)! In particular we will discuss the Lone Star State, as in the last year, O’Rourke has focused his efforts on flipping the Texas House. After the conversation with O’Rourke, we’ll talk about tools being developed here at Princeton to […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · Redistricting

Redistricting Moneyball: Nebraska!

October 23rd, 2020, 8:59am by Sam Wang

We have an unexpected new Redistricting Moneyball state: Nebraska! The Nebraska legislature will affect the redrawing of Congressional districts, which matters both for the House and also for the Presidency. How’d we figure it out, and how can you help in the final days of the campaign? Analyzing Nebraska was harder than other states. The […]

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Tags: Redistricting

Minnesota Senate Candidates Pledge To Fight Gerrymandering

October 20th, 2020, 5:06pm by Zachariah Sippy

Six Minnesota State Senate candidates have pledged to fight against gerrymandering and unfair districting if elected, the nonpartisan Princeton Gerrymandering Project announced today.

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

Fairer districting in November for one-fourth of all House districts?

October 20th, 2020, 8:23am by Sam Wang

Wherever you are, there are so many reasons to vote. We have resources in the right sidebar. See the PEC 50-State Voter Guide. Also at other sites, see Taniel’s What’s on the Ballot? and Stephen Colbert’s Better Know A Ballot. Today, I have a rundown of all the ways you can make a difference in […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · House · Redistricting

Two-fers

October 10th, 2020, 7:05pm by Sam Wang

With three weeks to go in the campaign, fundraising is heating up. That’s even true for state legislatures, which will shape the political playing field for 10 years through redistricting. Today I will give four examples of how one donation can do the work of two.

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Tags: 2020 Election · President · Redistricting · Senate

Slow (downticket) train coming

October 6th, 2020, 5:24pm by Sam Wang

In surveys conducted October 1-4, surveys show Biden up by a 10.0 +/- 0.6 percentage points (7 surveys, median +/- estimated SEM). If sustained, that’s a larger popular margin than Obama 2008 (7.3 points) or Clinton 1996 (8.5 points. The last larger win was Reagan 1984 (18.2 points). The Presidential Meta-Margin, on the other hand, […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · House · President · Redistricting · Senate