Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Jul 07: Biden 375 EV (D+6.8% from toss-up), Senate 53 D, 47 R (D+5.7%), House control D+6.0%
Moneyball states: President AR IA AZ, Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries Tagged as 'Redistricting'

Bending the Curve on Covid-19: Doubling Times as a Simple Metric

April 2nd, 2020, 8:27am by Sam Wang

Click here or on the right sidebar for automatically-updated versions. How will we know if we’re making progress on containing the coronavirus epidemic? One of the best measures, relatively free of biases that can creep in, is how long it takes for total deaths to double. When this “doubling time” is 3 days or less, […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Redistricting

A Virtual Town Hall with Former FEC Chair Ellen Weintraub

April 2nd, 2020, 1:00am by Indraneel Purohit

Join us! Also, check out the rest of our Fixing Bugs in Democracy series: Katie Fahey, Dave Daley, and more. Lots happening this month at Princeton!

[Read more →]

Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Redistricting · U.S. Institutions

Virginia is one step closer to having the South’s first redistricting commission

March 6th, 2020, 6:21pm by Aaron Barden

Following a close floor vote in the House, Virginia’s General Assembly has now passed its constitutional amendment, SJ18, creating a 16-member bipartisan, hybrid redistricting commission. As a result, this amendment will head to the voters this November to be considered as a ballot question. Huge steps towards reform in the Commonwealth!

[Read more →]

Tags: Redistricting

National and Southern organizations speak in favor of reform in VA

March 2nd, 2020, 10:52am by Aaron Barden

Last week, the Princeton Gerrymandering Project, in conjunction with other redistricting reform organizations, sent two letters to Virginia Speaker of the House Eileen Filler-Corn, imploring her to introduce the reform amendment, SJ18, on the floor of House of Delegates. The introduction of, and eventual floor vote on, this proposal is key to ensuring that redistricting […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Redistricting

As bills switch chambers, a close vote for redistricting reform in Virginia

February 12th, 2020, 11:06am by Aaron Barden

On Tuesday, both chambers of the Virginia General Assembly were hectically busy as they raced to pass legislation before the “crossover” deadline, by which bills must switch from one chamber to the other. Only a few redistricting form bills are left standing after crossover, but two paths remain: the constitutional amendment (HJ71/SJ18) and its enabling […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Redistricting

Virginia is for reform lovers: the committees (mostly) wrap up

February 7th, 2020, 7:45pm by Aaron Barden

This morning, the full House Privileges & Elections Committee voted to send three redistricting bills to the House floor, leaving open the two paths to reform we mentioned yesterday. These bills, as well as their Senate counterparts, will be voted on in their respective chambers next week. That means the committee process for reform is […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Redistricting

Two paths, one bipartisan, emerge for redistricting reform in Virginia

February 7th, 2020, 12:05am by Aaron Barden

Redistricting reform proposals in Virginia are starting to get sorted out. A number of bills have died. What’s left is a choice between two paths: (A) a constitutional amendment with an accompanying bill, which together create an independent commission with constraints to ensure fairness; or (B) pass a regular law to create an advisory commission, […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Redistricting

Moneyball politics: Florida

February 6th, 2020, 4:51am by Sam Wang

I’m in Florida at an event with Katie Fahey, founder of Voters Not Politicians! Naturally we got to talking about redistricting reform. Here at PEC, we’ve always been looking for ways to maximize the effectiveness of people’s donations and time. That means finding interventions that move probabilities the most, while costing the least. Usually, these […]

[Read more →]

Tags: 2020 Election · House · Politics · Redistricting

Newly in charge, Virginia Democrats still support redistricting reform

February 4th, 2020, 8:25pm by Aaron Barden

Hi! I’m Aaron Barden, legal analyst for the Princeton Gerrymandering Project. I’m in Richmond following the redistricting legislation. Democrats are newly in charge of the General Assembly – and they’re still in favor of reform. Today I witnessed bipartisan action to strengthen and improve the redistricting amendment – real progress! First, a basic review.

[Read more →]

Tags: 2020 Election · Redistricting

Will Virginia legislators put teeth in redistricting reform?

February 3rd, 2020, 6:18am by Aaron Barden

In 1789, Virginia was the site of the first gerrymander – even before the word “gerrymander” was coined. Now the Virginia General Assembly has a chance to take a big step toward doing away with gerrymanders entirely. Whether they do depends some complex negotiations taking place this week. Based on the Princeton Gerrymandering Project’s detailed […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Redistricting