Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Nov 03: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3% from toss-up), Senate 53 D, 47 R (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries Tagged as 'Politics'

Politics & Polls #208: Election Day 2020

November 3rd, 2020, 2:06pm by Sam Wang

This morning Julian Zelizer and I went down memory lane…to our 2016 pre-election episode. It was an eye-opener. I talk about elections very differently now. We get into what to look for, what to be concerned about, and how to use polling data without being a passive observer. Take a listen!

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Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Princeton

The Texas downticket, with Beto O’Rourke

October 26th, 2020, 5:00am by Zachariah Sippy

Join us on Tuesday at 5pm eastern for a conversation with former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (D-TX)! In particular we will discuss the Lone Star State, as in the last year, O’Rourke has focused his efforts on flipping the Texas House. After the conversation with O’Rourke, we’ll talk about tools being developed here at Princeton to […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · Redistricting

Alaska, this year’s new swing state?

October 4th, 2020, 9:01am by Zachariah Sippy

Alaska is one of the most interesting states this November’s election. Not only is the state competitive in Presidential, Senate, and U.S. House elections, at the state level Democrats are fighting to retain control of the state House and prevent a Republican trifecta.

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Tags: 2020 Election · House · Moneyball · Politics · President · Senate

Constitutional rot: like an eclipse, or a mistuned clockwork?

September 25th, 2020, 5:28pm by Sam Wang

In my second contribution second contribution to the Symposium over at Balkinization, I lay out a theory for reform. Any government is composed of pre-existing and artificial features, working together to make a complex system. Within that system are positive and negative feedbacks that can make the government more responsive or less responsive to its […]

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Tags: Politics · U.S. Institutions

The New Gilded Age, By The Numbers

September 24th, 2020, 1:26pm by Sam Wang

We’re in an exceptionally difficult time in our nation’s political history. A combination of economic stagnation, partisan polarizations, and demographic change has brought us to the point of losing our national consensus on what it means to have a United States. Is there any hope? Professor Jack Balkin says yes. In his new book, The […]

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Tags: 2016 Election · 2020 Election · Politics · President · Redistricting

Boosting Princeton turnout: introducing Vote100

September 12th, 2020, 2:14pm by Zachariah Sippy

In 2014, according to the National Study of Learning, Voting, and Engagement, only 11% of Princeton Undergraduate students voted. This dismal turnout inspired Princeton’s Vote100 initiative, with a stated goal of encouraging a 100% turnout rate among eligible Princeton students. In 2018, the population of students voting more than quadrupled, to 50%, but it is […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Princeton

New PEC feature: 50-State Guide to 2020 Elections

September 1st, 2020, 8:00am by Zachariah Sippy

While the Presidential election is hogging most of the attention, there are literally thousands of other races on the ballot. All 435 US House of Representatives seats, and a large Senate class (35 elections) are up for grabs. These races will have a massive impact on legislation and the composition of federal courts. Our 50-state […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Redistricting

Before the conventions, a slightly narrowing race

August 19th, 2020, 8:21am by Sam Wang

Can events like the roll-call vote above change public opinion? We’re about to find out – and trends over the last month will make a convention bounce easy to see, since Democrats have been trending slightly downward. Our federal poll trackers use different data streams, yet they seem to be moving together. This happened in […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · House · Politics · President · Senate

How hard is it to steal a national election by mail?

August 13th, 2020, 8:09am by Guest Contributor

(This guest article from August, by Michael Goldstein, seems relevant now. Elected officials in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania have kept the vote-counting process moving forward in an orderly way. For that we should be grateful. -Sam, 11/5/2020) Recent statements by the President – and actions by Postmaster General Louis DeJoy – raise concerns about the […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · President

Redistricting Moneyball – the web event!

August 12th, 2020, 2:41pm by Sam Wang

If you’re coming here because of the NYT article by Thomas Edsall, welcome! Come to our event where we explain what we’re up to. Last week we unveiled “Redistricting Moneyball,” the Princeton Gerrymandering Project strategy to stop gerrymandering in 2021. On August 12 we had a videoconference to explain the model. We encourage everyone to watch […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · Redistricting