Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Meta-Margins for control: House D+1.0% Senate R+4.2% Find key elections near you!

Entries Tagged as 'Politics'

Suggestions for a fair redistricting process (contains no partisan data)

September 16th, 2019, 9:41am by Sam Wang

Carolina legislators have an unusual task: they are instructed by the Superior Court to undo a partisan gerrymander, but they are not allowed to use partisan voting data. Here are some suggestions for carrying out this task successfully.

[Read more →]

Tags: Politics · Redistricting

The North Carolina Senate remedial map shows reduced bias but is weak for minority representation

September 15th, 2019, 11:45am by Sam Wang

This post has been modified to remove reference to the Voting Rights Act. (click the map above for greater detail) The Senate remedial map, as passed by the entire chamber (“Consensus v3”), is reminiscent of the House map in its character. It has less partisan skew – but some still remains. PlanScore [2018 map] [Remedial] […]

[Read more →]

Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Redistricting

Why Your Vote Matters: Michigan

November 3rd, 2018, 5:00pm by Sam Wang

It’s not too late to vote absentee! Stop by your local clerk’s office ASAP to request or drop off an absentee ballot. All ballots MUST be in your clerk’s hands by 8 p.m. on Tuesday. https://t.co/IzmzTNvILn — Progress Michigan (@ProgressMich) November 3, 2018 Whether you are progressive, conservative, or independent, there are many reasons to […]

[Read more →]

Tags: 2018 Election · House · Politics · Redistricting

Three Ways To Maximize Your Power

October 6th, 2018, 3:52pm by Sam Wang

It’s exactly one month to the election. Here are three ways to maximize your power. 1) Students: Figure out the place where your vote matters the most. This site, Make My Vote Matter, figures it out for you. It’s developed by a scientist, Ursula Wong-Brown, and shows you which address has more competitive House/Senate/governor races. […]

[Read more →]

Tags: 2018 Election · House · Politics · Senate

Thomas Hofeller, 1943-2018

August 19th, 2018, 9:59am by Sam Wang

Despite the near-certainty that Democrats will win the national popular vote for House races in November, I still estimate a 10% probability (and other forecasters, up to 25%) that Republicans will retain control. Why? Gerrymandering. More than anyone else, Tom Hofeller was responsible for the modern age of aggressive redistricting. He carried out this program […]

[Read more →]

Tags: House · Politics · Redistricting

Politics & Polls #73: What does the North Carolina gerrymandering decision mean?

January 11th, 2018, 3:54pm by Sam Wang

Our podcast’s now available on Spotify! Today, Julian Zelizer and I discussed the North Carolina court decision. What does it mean for reform ahead? Listen to the new Politics & Polls.

[Read more →]

Tags: Politics · Princeton · Redistricting

Politics & Polls #67: What happened in Virginia? with Larry Sabato and Geoffrey Skelley

November 17th, 2017, 9:48am by Sam Wang

Democrats scored big wins last week in New Jersey and Virginia elections. Julian Zelizer and I chew it over with Larry Sabato and Geoffrey Skelley. Plus a tiny bit about whether Alabama will elect a child molester as senator, or choose a Democrat who prosecutes KKK terrorists. Life is full of hard choices. All in […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Politics · Senate

Politics & Polls: Charlottesville and our broken public discourse

August 17th, 2017, 12:09pm by Sam Wang

The route between public outrage and consequences for President Trump seems quite broken. Why? Julian Zelizer and I chew it over in the new Politics & Polls. The opening is especially lively. Later we get into the regular nerdery.

[Read more →]

Tags: Politics · President

Sharp cutbacks at HuffPost Pollster

June 15th, 2017, 2:21pm by Sam Wang

Some news about HuffPost Pollster. Due to staff reductions, we have had to dramatically reduce the scope of what we track. — Ariel Edwards-Levy (@aedwardslevy) June 15, 2017 This is terrible news. As part of cutbacks at the Huffington Post, the tracking of polls will be curtailed dramatically. As reported by HuffPollster’s Ariel Edwards-Levy, they […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Politics

Overcoming your own brain’s bias in the Comey/Trump case

June 7th, 2017, 6:21pm by Sam Wang

Our brains have powerful biases that help us maintain a coherent world view. However, sometimes those biases prevent us from integrating new evidence well. Today, the release of former FBI director James Comey provides an example. Most readers on the left and the right see it as powerful evidence that President Trump attempted to obstruct […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Politics · President