Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Sep 27: Biden 353 EV (D+5.2% from toss-up), Senate 52 D, 48 R (D+3.7%), House control D+3.6%
Moneyball states: President IA NV AZ, Senate MT KS AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries Tagged as 'Moneyball'

Florida voter-registration update

September 21st, 2020, 1:52pm by Sam Wang

In Florida the voter registration deadline is two weeks away, on October 5. Florida is a critical state for both the presidency and state legislative control over redistricting. My team at the Princeton Gerrymandering Project has determined that Florida is one of a handful of states where elections (as opposed to reform) are the main […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

Florida Moneyball, 11th Circuit edition

September 13th, 2020, 11:07am by Sam Wang

This week the 11th Circuit issued a shocking opinion curtailing voting rights in Florida. Over half of ex-felons in Florida are now excluded from registering to vote, because first they have to pay fines, fees, and restitution – effectively, a tax on voting. In response to this, we suggest that a solution. Our Redistricting Moneyball […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting

Redistricting Moneyball – the web event!

August 12th, 2020, 2:41pm by Sam Wang

If you’re coming here because of the NYT article by Thomas Edsall, welcome! Come to our event where we explain what we’re up to. Last week we unveiled “Redistricting Moneyball,”┬áthe Princeton Gerrymandering Project strategy to stop gerrymandering in 2021. On August 12 we had a videoconference to explain the model. We encourage everyone to watch […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · Redistricting

Politics & Polls #196: Conventions, the Campaign, and #Moneyball2020

August 10th, 2020, 10:30am by Sam Wang

In the current Politics & Polls, Julian Zelizer and I talk about what conventions are good for, and what not having them might mean. We also talk about the downticket, including the new Redistricting Moneyball project. Tune in!

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · Redistricting

What’s more important than a Presidential probability?

August 9th, 2020, 2:21pm by Sam Wang

Presidential models are mainly of interest in close elections, which have been the norm since 2000. This year, Joe Biden occasionally gets within sight of 400 electoral votes, which we haven’t seen since Bill Clinton or George H.W. Bush. In addition, U.S. Senate and state legislative races are of paramount importance. So we’ve spent less […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · President · Redistricting

Sam on The New Abnormal with Molly Jong-Fast and Rick Wilson

August 1st, 2020, 9:19am by Sam Wang

I had a great conversation with Molly Jong-Fast and Rick Wilson on their podcast, The New Abnormal! We talked polls, elections, and Moneyball 2020. Oh, and Senator Tammy Duckworth was the other two-thirds of their show. I guess data analytics are the vegetable course? As a Southern friend of mine says, if there’s nothing green […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · President · Redistricting · Senate

New PEC feature: Redistricting Moneyball 2020

July 30th, 2020, 7:31pm by Sam Wang

(Watch our explainer video here.) The main campaign stories in 2020 are the Presidential election and the fight for control of Congress (mostly, the U.S. Senate). But lurking beneath those high-profile questions are state legislative elections, which will set the political playing field, including Congressional districting, for the next 10 years. State legislatures determine policies […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Politics · Redistricting

Moneyball politics: Florida (Part III)

July 27th, 2020, 8:19pm by Zachariah Sippy

On Friday, former Miami Heat superstar LeBron James and his newly formed voting rights organization, More Than A Vote, announced a partnership with the Florida Rights Restoration Commission (FRRC). This $100,000 campaign is part of FRRC’s larger effort to ensure that formerly incarcerated individuals will be able to vote this November. But it’s a drop […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Redistricting · Supreme Court

Blue Kentucky Girl

June 25th, 2020, 8:55pm by Sam Wang

(updated to reflect a narrow win by Amy McGrath over Charles Booker in the Democratic primary) Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) has made a successful career out of exploiting the rules of government. He is the single greatest architect of changes that move the U.S. away from democracy. But national Democrats and voting rights […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Senate