(revised Friday November 9th to correct an error in Maine Senate) The election turned out approximately as expected from advance information, a narrowly-Democratic House and a Republican Senate. I thought it might be good to look at the results from the perspective of 2020.
Entries Tagged as 'House'
Electoral maps based on 2018 results
November 7th, 2018, 12:28pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2018 Election · House · Senate
Following the returns, 2018
November 6th, 2018, 7:53pm by Sam Wang
Tonight’s liveblogging: A mixed scoreboard for redistricting reform. WINSPA: courts redrew House mapMI, CO, MO: voter initiativesWI: Evers introduces split controlNC: state Supreme Court to act as check LOSSESFL: under DeSantis, single-party control, no court checkGA: if Kemp wins, the same — Sam Wang (@SamWangPhD) November 7, 2018 1:52am: The gubernatorial races in Wisconsin and […]
Tags: 2018 Election · House
What you’re voting for today
November 6th, 2018, 8:22am by Sam Wang
You’re voting, right? Check your poll location and closing time. And you donated [PEC’s high-leverage picks] [NRSC]. And now, on Election Day, three cheers to those of you who are getting out the vote. Good luck – your country needs you! In addition to the House (final snapshot here) and Senate (final snapshot here, post-Kavanaugh […]
Tags: 2018 Election · House · Senate · U.S. Institutions
House Outlook: Streams Converge
November 5th, 2018, 2:00pm by Sam Wang
As has been the case for months, Democrats are still favored to win the House. But measured in terms of national popular vote, they are only 2 or 3 percentage points above threshold to do so. That’s pretty close…and all of them touch the threshold for control by either side. What makes everyone think the […]
Tags: 2018 Election · House
Why You Should Vote: Red States, Blue Priorities
November 4th, 2018, 9:42am by Sam Wang
(Written in collaboration with Owen Engel ’21.) Progressive policies are more popular than progressive candidates. Red-state candidates who advocate for increases in the minimum wage and Medicaid expansion lose to opponents, who tar them as liberals. Yet surveys show large bipartisan majorities in favor of these same policies. This is a testament to how well […]
Tags: 2018 Election · Health · House · Senate
Why Your Vote Matters: Michigan
November 3rd, 2018, 5:00pm by Sam Wang
It’s not too late to vote absentee! Stop by your local clerk’s office ASAP to request or drop off an absentee ballot. All ballots MUST be in your clerk’s hands by 8 p.m. on Tuesday. https://t.co/IzmzTNvILn — Progress Michigan (@ProgressMich) November 3, 2018 Whether you are progressive, conservative, or independent, there are many reasons to […]
Tags: 2018 Election · House · Politics · Redistricting
Making the last push in 2018
November 3rd, 2018, 1:09pm by Sam Wang
For neuroscientists, Election Day is a middling priority when planning conferences. Today starts the annual Society for Neuroscience meeting in San Diego. It’s an incredible outpouring of science and creative effort from close to 30,000 people – most of whom will be far from home. I hope at least they voted! That is the minimal […]
Tags: 2018 Election · House
When The (Gerrymandered) Levee Breaks: North Carolina and Michigan
November 3rd, 2018, 1:01am by Sam Wang
Back in 2013, I wrote about the hidden vulnerability when a party engineers winning districts for itself. This idea is in full force for 2018. Gerrymandered wins may swing back hard, because they often have a mix of Democratic, Republican, and most important, independent (and maybe swingable) voters. This would explain some surprisingly close races in […]
Tags: 2018 Election · House
Politics & Polls: Year Of The Woman, 2018 – and North Carolina
October 28th, 2018, 7:30pm by Sam Wang
This Politics & Polls is a pre-midterms double-header, on women and on North Carolina. This year, a record number of women candidates are running for federal office. Where did this come from, and how many of them will win? Julian Zelizer and I drill in with Prof. Danielle Thomsen of U.C. Irvine, who’s visiting Princeton […]
Tags: 2018 Election · House · Senate
Optimal 2018 donations in the home stretch: Senate, House, Governor
October 26th, 2018, 11:00am by Sam Wang
Judging from my mail, I think some of you think I am back online making predictions. This is not true! PEC provides aggregation and information to reveal where you can make the most impact. Since almost the start, my reason for operating PEC was to show how such efforts might be optimized. And as I wrote […]
Tags: 2018 Election · governors · House · Redistricting · Senate
