Since the 2010 census, Hispanic and Asian populations in New Jersey have increased by 410,000, almost as many people as live in 2 legislative districts (see map at left and our statement). But if Jersey legislators get their way, those communities may have to wait two years until 2023 to see their numbers reflected in […]
Entries Tagged as '2020 Election'
Will New Jersey Hispanics and Asians have to wait until 2023 for fair representation?
July 9th, 2020, 6:42pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2020 Election · Redistricting
Our Polling Trauma
July 8th, 2020, 1:42pm by Sam Wang
Did the 2016 election make us too gun-shy to trust polls? New in the Columbia Journalism Review, I tell what went wrong, polling successes in 2018 and 2019, and what it all means for 2020. I offer an opinion on how journalists could incorporate data into their coverage of this year’s race. I also point […]
Tags: 2020 Election
The new generation gives me hope
June 29th, 2020, 7:38pm by Sam Wang
This remarkable bit of TikTok storytelling, after the jump (it’s causing problems on some browsers)…
Tags: 2020 Election · Uncategorized
Blue Kentucky Girl
June 25th, 2020, 8:55pm by Sam Wang
(updated to reflect a narrow win by Amy McGrath over Charles Booker in the Democratic primary) Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) has made a successful career out of exploiting the rules of government. He is the single greatest architect of changes that move the U.S. away from democracy. But national Democrats and voting rights […]
Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball · Senate
Juneteenth
June 19th, 2020, 8:47am by Sam Wang
The Civil War ended in April 1865, but news back then traveled slowly. On June 19, 1865, a Union general in Texas made a public declaration, which grew into the Juneteenth celebration and commemoration, observed by Black Americans starting in the 1880s. Today, Juneteenth is observed in some manner in 49 out of 50 states. As […]
Tags: 2020 Election · Princeton
It’s alive!
June 19th, 2020, 6:46am by Sam Wang
Detailed explanation to come. Basically, it’s the same as the 2016 calculation – a simple snapshot of polls to give a sharp picture of where the race is on any single day, to allow optimization of resource allocation. The November prediction (red zone, one-sigma; yellow zone, two-sigma or 95% confidence band) comes from estimating the […]
Tags: 2020 Election · President · Site News
At Labyrinth Books tonight with Dave Daley on Unrigged, his new book on democracy reform
June 18th, 2020, 8:33am by Sam Wang
Tonight at 6:00pm Eastern, I’m looking forward to this conversation with Dave Daley. His new book Unrigged: How Americans Are Battling Back To Save Democracy talks about all the ways that reform is breaking out across the nation. His previous book, Ratf***ed, detailed how partisan gerrymandering was committed in 2010. In Unrigged, he’s broadened his […]
Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Redistricting · U.S. Institutions
Election tracking 2020, Part 2: The U.S. Senate
June 17th, 2020, 8:42pm by Sam Wang
Close watchers of politics sense that conditions are turning against Senate Republicans. Exactly when this began has been hard to tell by looking at individual polls. But a statistical aggregate clarifies the answer: the middle of April, at the same time as President Trump’s increasingly wild coronavirus-19 press conferences. The core calculation is to determine […]
Tags: 2020 Election · Politics · Senate · Site News
Election tracking 2020, Part 1: The U.S. House
June 17th, 2020, 3:12pm by Sam Wang
In the coming weeks, PEC will roll out new features and a new design. Most prominent will be an emphasis on local action. Our editorial stance this year is to leverage your local efforts locally for the Presidency (4 years), the Senate (6 years), and redistricting (10 years). This week, we start up the previous […]
Tags: 2020 Election · House · Princeton · Redistricting · Site News
Fixing Bugs In Democracy: The Electoral College
June 3rd, 2020, 9:13pm by Sam Wang
Thursday at 6:00pm, I’m pleased to help host the fourth event in our series, Fixing Bugs In Democracy. In our cross-hairs: the Electoral College. That’s right, we are hosting an event for an author who wants to do away with the reason that most people come to this site. It’s a terrific book, full of […]
Tags: 2020 Election · President
