Four years ago, I pointed out that close Senate races all tend to fall in the direction of one party or the other. Since then, the idea has stood up pretty well. It implies two very different possible futures. There are a few races I will be watching on Tuesday to figure out which is […]
Entries Tagged as '2014 Election'
Two Futures: 45 or 50 Democratic Senate seats…but not in between?
November 4th, 2018, 4:00pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2004 Election · 2006 Elections · 2008 Election · 2012 Election · 2014 Election · 2016 Election · 2018 Election · Senate
Politics and Polls #66: Year of the Trumpquake
November 9th, 2017, 8:10pm by Sam Wang
Our podcast is ranked #12 in News and Politics on iTunes! Which is pretty cool. Here, Julian Zelizer and I look back on the last 12 months, including what we did and didn’t foresee after last November’s Trumpquake. Added bonus: I do impression of Russian spy. All in the new Politics & Polls.
Tags: 2014 Election
Tom Petty
October 3rd, 2017, 6:36am by Sam Wang
This was the first Tom Petty song I loved. So much bad news in the world. The biggest mass shooting in U.S. history. The rapid erosion of norms in our government’s institutions. Climate change-induced intensification of hurricanes, and the ensuing disaster in Puerto Rico. The post-apocalyptic imagery in the video above seems fitting. However, there […]
Tags: 2014 Election
Partisan Gerrymandering Across the 50 States
July 16th, 2017, 8:49am by Sam Wang
Note: I’ll pretty this up later. In the meantime, the files are available for you to download and inspect at the end of this post. Over at the Associated Press, reporter David Lieb has published a new, in-depth analysis of the effects of gerrymandering in the 2016 Congressional and statehouse elections. The analysis found that […]
Tags: 2012 Election · 2014 Election · 2016 Election · governors · Redistricting
Politics & Polls: The First 100 Days
April 28th, 2017, 4:08pm by Sam Wang
Historian Meg Jacobs, Julian, and I chew over how Trump’s first 100 days. Listen to my reaction to Jacobs’s assertion that Trump is off to a strong start. If spit-up coffee could get through speakers, you would be well coated. In seriousness, my own view is that Trump has weakened the presidency through ineffectiveness at […]
Tags: 2014 Election
Homeland Security Memo on Actual Sources of Terrorism
February 26th, 2017, 7:02am by Sam Wang
The memo is here. Based on analysis of actual identified threats and incidents relevant to the U.S., the top seven nations are Pakistan, Somalia, Bangladesh, Cuba, Ethiopia, Iraq, and Uzbekistan. Although all but two (Cuba and Ethiopia) are predominantly-Muslim countries, there is not much overlap with the countries named in the Muslim travel ban. For […]
Tags: 2014 Election
Politics & Polls #32: Israel and Palestine
February 23rd, 2017, 8:28pm by Sam Wang
Almost every U.S. president has struggled to broker a peace agreement between Israel and Palestine. A two-state solution was already looking fleeting. What can we expect to see from President Donald Trump? In Politics & Polls, George W. Bush’s Ambassador to Israel, Daniel Kurtzer, joined Julian Zelizer and me to take a hard look at […]
Tags: 2014 Election
Coding for Journalists
February 22nd, 2017, 11:27pm by Sam Wang
A crash course in Python for journalists who wish to scrape data. Intriguing!
Tags: 2014 Election
Happy Hannukah / Merry Christmas!
December 25th, 2016, 3:47am by Sam Wang
2016 was tumultuous. I expect 2017 will be more so. But today is peaceful, at least here. I hope you all have a good holiday wherever you are. Above, a song in memory of the Red Army Choir.
Tags: 2014 Election
What do polls and neuroscience have in common?
August 16th, 2016, 10:43am by Sam Wang
Find out in a profile published yesterday on the University’s homepage. Bonus: it may be the only time you will ever find the cerebellum and gerrymandering mentioned in the same article.
Tags: 2014 Election