Via Andrew Sullivan, several claims that the Presidential race may be tightening. Maybe at a national level, but not where it counts: In national polls, the median for polls from 9/26 to 10/1 is Obama +4.0+/-0.6% (n=11). Yet the Meta-Margin, which measures what it would take to flip the swing states, is at Obama +6.0%, … Continue reading Swing state advantage