As regular readers know, the meta-analysis is a hobby. I’ve only asked for support via ActBlue (nearly $45,000) or the NRSC. But now, a prize from Kevin Drum, who notes that my polling averages were extremely close to the final results. In addition to the 364 EV prediction (a bit seat-of-the-pants at the time, but … Continue reading On the unreasonable success of Congressional polls