In national surveys, Romney’s up by a median of +1.0+/-1.0% (n=10). Yet the Popular Vote Meta-Margin, which is nearly all caught up, is at Obama +0.84%. What accounts for the difference? Normally I don’t engage in this kind of detailed combination-dissecting, since there are so many possibilities. The whole point of the Meta-Analysis is to … Continue reading Bush v. Kerry revisited?