Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries from April 20th, 2021

Were There Really Reverse Coattails?

April 20th, 2021, 12:48am by Sam Wang

A positive development for the left in the last few years has been the renewed interest in running for downticket races. From Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to legislative candidates nationwide, such efforts are necessary for building a healthy political party. Last week came a new claim that such efforts are not only directly useful, they can […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Moneyball

Save Wisconsin Democracy With One Weird Trick

April 7th, 2021, 1:39pm by Zachariah Sippy

One of the most notable partisan gerrymanders in the country can be found in Wisconsin. But a repeat of the offense in 2021 can be prevented – with public input.  Governor Evers has formed a nonpartisan citizen commission to increase transparency and collect public input, regardless of whether the legislature intends to bypass him or […]

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Tags: Redistricting