Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries from January 20th, 2021

The Biden Administration’s busy first day

January 20th, 2021, 9:26pm by Sam Wang

Busy day so far: Rejoining the Paris Climate Accord. VP Harris swearing in three new Senators. Staying in the World Health Organization. Undoing immigration restrictions and restoring DACA. Firing the National Labor Relations Board’s general counsel. Freezing student loan repayments and interest. No more border wall. Revoking a variety of other Trump Administration policies, and… […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · President

Building democracy back better

January 20th, 2021, 8:46am by Sam Wang

Today at noon, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris will be inaugurated as President and Vice-President. In addition to all the new policies and priorities they will implement and develop, it’s a relief. Over the last four years, democracy hit a modern low point. Now we face a long challenge: how to repair our system and […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · U.S. Institutions

In Wisconsin, hidden flaws in new proposal for electoral votes

January 12th, 2021, 1:56pm by Zachariah Sippy

State Representative Gary Tauchen (R) has introduced a bill in the Wisconsin General Assembly to change the way electoral votes are allocated. Instead of a winner-take-all system, his proposal would dole them out by congressional districts. At first, this plan looks like it would help Republicans. But the real long-term beneficiaries might be Democrats— and […]

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Tags: President · Redistricting

Is Georgia 2020 the new Virginia 2008?

January 5th, 2021, 2:08pm by Sam Wang

Final results: Warnock (D) and Ossoff (D) win, giving Democrats 50 seats in the Senate and control of the chamber. (NYT) In Georgia, first Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump. Now we have two competitive Senate races. Polls show the Democratic candidates, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, leading their opponents by a few points. If they […]

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Tags: 2020 Election · Senate