| State | Margin | Voter Power |
|---|---|---|
| MT | Bullock +3.5 | 100.0 |
| KS | Bollier +1.0 | 73.5 |
| ME | Gideon +4.0 | 72.2 |
| IA | Greenfield +2.5 | 58.8 |
| KY | Tie +0.0 | 36.9 |
| NC | Cunningham +2.0 | 20.2 |
Truly it is now cool to care about gerrymandering. Check out this great article in Bustle. It features Princeton Gerrymandering Project’s own Hannah Wheelen and Ben Williams. Also Katie Fahey, Justin Levitt – they went deep and talked to the right people!
To quote Ben: “Gerrymandering isn’t the issue you have to care about most, but it is the issue you have to care about first.”
Tags: 2020 Election · Redistricting
Republicans (redistricting and U.S. Senate):
Democrats (U.S. Senate):
EV estimator over time
| State | Margin | Voter Power |
|---|---|---|
| AR | Trump +2.0 | 100.0 |
| IA | Trump +1.0 | 77.9 |
| AZ | Biden +4.0 | 65.1 |
| NH | Trump +2.0 | 58.8 |
| FL | Biden +5.0 | 57.5 |
| OH | Biden +1.0 | 56.0 |
| NJ | Biden +19.0 | 0.0 |
I find the wording of this with regards to the Michigan case interesting.
“This court joins the growing chorus of federal courts that have, in recent years, held that partisan gerrymandering is unconstitutional,”
https://www.npr.org/2019/04/25/717241463/federal-court-rules-that-michigans-congressional-map-was-unfairly-gerrymandered
Another interesting thing that may point to the SCOTUS thinking?
The Supreme Court upheld the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals’ decision in Apple v. Pepper, agreeing in a 5-4 decision that Apple app buyers could sue the company for allegedly driving up prices. “Apple’s line-drawing does not make a lot of sense, other than as a way to gerrymander Apple out of this and similar lawsuits,” wrote Justice Brett Kavanaugh.
https://www.theverge.com/2019/5/13/18617727/apple-v-pepper-antitrust-illinois-brick-supreme-court-case-loss
It is a pity that this site had become a left wing echo chamber shutting off any contrary opinions.
Go and root for all the democrats you want.
And, professors – saddle students with all the loans you can while you teach for – what – four hours a week?
Goodbye election.princeton.edu
Generally I delete (a) abuse and (b) false or nonfactual statements. Longtime commenters get more latitude. I can’t control their political thoughts.
We should nationalize post-secondary education in the US and set a standardized pay, say $80k per year, and make professors work 40 hours per week teaching their students rather than double and triple dipping to collect money elsewhere
Wow, Paul.
That’s not how faculty salaries are determined around here, as far as I am aware. I don’t get double-paid for any of my time. Where did you get that idea?
Also, in general, teachers do more than teach in class – they prepare lessons, grade, and see students outside class. At this particular university we have other duties as well. Mentoring graduate students and postdocs, running a lab, overseeing undergraduate lab work, serving the university on various decisionmaking committees, hosting summer students…
Let’s predict four consecutive elections and pretend to be scientists. Let’s say the democrats are 99 pct likely to win each one. Let’s then watch the results actually be 50/50. What does Bayes rules say about that?
Is there any wonder people don’t trust the “elites”?