Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries from March 29th, 2019

Discover Your Inner Federalist! Using State Constitutions To Stop Gerrymandering

March 29th, 2019, 11:56pm by Sam Wang

Update, July 17, 2019: The Supreme Court didn’t act to curb partisan gerrymandering. But there’s a second route to justice: state courts. In Slate, the Princeton Gerrymandering Project’s Ben Williams reports. To read about this idea, our forthcoming article [SSRN link] in the University of Pennsylvania Journal of Constitutional Law spells it all out.

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Tags: Redistricting

Partisan gerrymandering and the Chief

March 26th, 2019, 8:28am by Sam Wang

Today, the Supreme Court hears two partisan gerrymandering cases, a Republican offense in North Carolina (Rucho v. Common Cause) and a Democratic offense in Maryland (Benisek v. Lamone). The outcome likely hinges on the vote of Chief Justice John Roberts (or Associate Justice Brett Kavanaugh…developing…). In the Atlantic, I review how far the math has […]

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Tags: Redistricting is live!

March 21st, 2019, 8:45pm by Sam Wang

Until now, politicians had a monopoly on the data needed to draw district maps. The Princeton Gerrymandering Project’s data specialist Hannah Wheelen is helping to change that. Hannah oversees data collection for, our tool to let citizens talk back to redistricters. She’ll talk about our overall approach, especially our recent efforts in Virginia. We […]

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Tags: Redistricting

On this morning with Michigan SoS Benson!

March 21st, 2019, 9:44am by Sam Wang

Looking forward to joining @MichSoS @JocelynBenson tomorrow on WJR-AM in Detroit. Tune in to hear about the future of redistricting in the Wolverine State! When: Thursday 9:45 am — Sam Wang (@SamWangPhD) March 20, 2019 Tune in right this minute! Sorry, over now…fun and quick. However, you can still listen here. Michiganders, be on the […]

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Tags: Redistricting

Princeton brief in Rucho v. Common Cause

March 8th, 2019, 5:26pm by Sam Wang

Wesley Pegden of Carnegie-Mellon University, Jonathan Rodden of Stanford University, and I joined forces on an amicus brief (PDF). We offered the court our views on the federal partisan gerrymandering case from North Carolina, Rucho v. Common Cause (this link goes to all the other briefs as well). We describe to the court how the various […]

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Tags: Redistricting · Supreme Court