Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Today – WHYY Radio Times at 10am; on campus at noon

September 26th, 2016, 12:14am by Sam Wang

Today at 10:00am Eastern, I’ll be on WHYY-FM’s Radio Times with Mary Cummings-Jordan for an hour-long program on polls and the campaign. (Did you miss it? Archived here.)

If you’re in the Princeton area, at noon I’ll be giving a talk in the American Politics Seminar. My focus will be this year’s race, polarization, and a little gerrymandering too if I have time. Come on by if you can!

Tags: 2016 Election · Politics

4 Comments so far ↓

  • DaveM

    For those who missed it, Radio Times is rebroadcast at 11 PM. Might be the perfect antidote to the cacophony of post-debate punditry!

  • George

    Since the debate thread seems to be closed …. As I recall it was about a week ago when IPSOS Reuters dumped a bunch of polls and the meta-margin dropped over a point. Today, they released another bunch of polls and it bounced back to 2.4 – up a point. So – was there really that kind of swing going on, or did one bad/random bunch get negated by another bad/random bunch? Or was it some other polls coming in and knocking out the older IPSOS numbers? I know Sam says things are stable, but they sure jump around inside the upper and lower control limits a lot.

  • Jay Sheckley

    I so wish I was close enough to come hear you lecture. Say, TIME magazine online is running a poll: Who Won the Debate? My husbear wondered aloud why Trump is hacking it, because there the Don seems to have won, but if Giuliani says he lost, he lost. The debate was surprising, and that’s what I’d hoped. Want to be part of a poll? PECers, tell your peers :D