Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Jul 09: Biden 375 EV (D+6.3% from toss-up), Senate 53 D, 47 R (D+5.8%), House control D+6.0%
Moneyball states: President AR IA AZ, Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries from November 26th, 2015

Happy Thanksgiving!

November 26th, 2015, 3:30pm by Sam Wang

I know it’s a time for people to come together, eat, and get into conversation. Sometimes things can get contentious. Here’s a primer on What To Say To Your Frequentist Uncle. Lots of good stuff there, including a question on what “never” means. Happy Thanksgiving, everyone! Update:

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Tags: Uncategorized

Two Cheers for Ohio Redistricting Reform

November 4th, 2015, 10:16am by Sam Wang

Yesterday, Ohio voters overwhelmingly approved Issue 1, an initiative that sets up a bipartisan commission to oversee redistricting of state legislative districts. This is a great step in combating gerrymandering. However, there are some fine points that have to be resolved for it to work well.

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Tags: Redistricting

Offering a new standard for gerrymandering to the Supreme Court

November 2nd, 2015, 2:58pm by Sam Wang

Tweet Today, I filed a friend-of-the-court brief in the Harris v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission case (S. Ct. 14-232). The brief can be found here (for a summary of other briefs, see the Arizona Eagletarian blog). In it, I argue that the Supreme Court should reject Harris’s case on the grounds that there was no […]

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Tags: House · Politics · Redistricting