Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries from September 13th, 2013

Protected: Putting “fundamentals” to the test

September 13th, 2013, 12:57am by Sam Wang

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Tags: 2014 Election · Senate

(NYC mayor) Bill DeBlasio’s debt to Anthony Weiner

September 10th, 2013, 8:59am by Sam Wang

Aftermath: Election results and interactive maps can be found at the NYT. DeBlasio currently has 40.3%, so a mayoral runoff appears to be avoided, as I predicted. Stringer wins comptroller – I was on the wrong side of that. However, as I’ve said before, with my methods, anything in the 20-80% probability range is a […]

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Tags: Politics