9:34pm. CBS: New Hampshire called for Obama. Erm, election’s probably over. And unskewers are full of it. On the same note: Florida is Obama 50.01%, Romney 49.99% with 81% counted. <0.5% is recount territory (Brennan Center).
9:25pm. Electoral-vote.com totally overwhelmed. We were gone, back now.
Indiana Senate race Donnelly over Mourdock 48-46% with 63% counted. Right in line with poll medians. We’re headed for Democratic gains in the Senate.
9:19pm. Pennsylvania for Obama. Evidently pollster skew is less than 5%. (Plot it in the Geek’s Guide!)
8:25pm. Florida appears to be 50-50 with 50% counted. If that holds up, it’s right in line with polls. Recount, ZOMG!!1!!eleven! But not much to reassure those who think pre-election polls are skewed.
8:20pm. Big margins in OH (for O, early voting) and VA (for R, GOP counties) not informative. However, Donnelly (D) 50-44 over Mourdock with 27% counted in IN? Hmmm, that’s interesting.
8:14pm. Watching ABC, reminded how much I hate TV coverage on Election Night. We know more the day before (polls) and the day after (full results). Halfway-counted Virginia? Watching Anderson Cooper’s discussion. No offense to Henrico County, don’t care…
7:40pm. OK, guys – listen…Exit polls don’t tell you anything – they can be off, and get adjusted later to match actual returns. They are a research tool for the media to construct stories.
Also, large states like VA – these are too large to give accurate results in the early evening. Watch NH as fast-counting indicator of national result. See Geek’s Guide.
I know only one percent has been counted so far in Michigan but leaning Romney? My head is spinning. I live here!
Calm yourself!
GOP counties are almost always the first to report as they have fewer people and are quicker to report.
You’ve been called for Obama, calm down and have a drink.
Huffpo just announced that Romney won Delaware. What?
CNN has obama stomping DE, just give up on HuffPo, OK? :)
mcmahon spent lots of money for two losses.
PA just went Obama – Fox and MSNBC
PA just called by NBC for Obama. So much for being in play for Romney! So much for my fears about voter suppression!!
NBC just called PA for Obama.
duh!
Networks calling PA for Obama … Romney’s desperation play after the reality of the situation in OH sunk in.
OK. OH. We love ya. Good, warm, Obama thoughts being channeled your way.
nh?
Fox just called Wisconsin for Obama.
I think the President just needs Iowa and it’s over.
Dr. Wang,
What server are you running on.
Dr Wang, are the states reporting how many provisional votes have been cast?
States called for the President.
NJ
NY
MI
PA
WI
He needs Ohio or Iowa/NH and we’re done I believe.
Hey Dr. Wang,
If you could not EVER go offline again that would be awesome for my blood pressure. Thanks!
Mine too, Stacey.
Glad to see Dr. Wang will not need to eat a large bug
CBS just called NH
So much for New Hampshire being an early indicator. I think though, we can take Florida at 50-50 as validating the polls and relax. Thank the Goddess that we won’t need Florida. Well I remember the exit polls saying Gore had won Florida in 2000! True but the results were hijacked. By the way, Ralph, if you could possibly be watching, well I won’t say it.
Thanks for this site Sam, everyone congratulates you, you are polling 100%
NH!
& btw –not to be taken for granted –MI!
At this rate Obama is going to landslide Romney. Wow.
Nate Silver is getting cautiously optimistic about FL. Very cautiously.
NH for Obama! Yay! Skew that!!!!
Great job everyone NH, WI called come on Iowa!
According to David Gregory, Obama would have lost PA if Clinton hadn’t closed for him. “Clinton moved the map.”
We. Are. Democrats.
NBC just called the MA senate race for Warren. WOOOOOOT!
Elizabeth Warren – so very glad to add her to the Senate. Ted Kennedy would be so proud!
I’m almost feeling secure enough to turn on the TeeVee machine and watch Rachel. The polls, apparently, were right again, and math still works.
Tell us it’s safe, Sam!
Have been watching Rachel since 6pm. Upbeat.
Joe Donnelly won!
Wow that rape comment just handed the Senate to the Democrats!
On a humorous note, here is a message from Anonymous to Karl Rove. Maybe he took it to heart?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98frqrKFnQ8
Congrats to Prof. Warren!
Go to the new thread, guys!
CNN has called MA Senate race for Warren (D)
NH just called for Obama by NBC
We are seeing the polls might have grossly understated Obama’s advantage.
Gallup is done as a reputable organization. Done.
I am scared for Ohio. :/
Welcome back up, Sam. Being vindicated is the best revenge.
Those dems, always wanting revenge!
As of 11:00 eastern, CNN & MSNBC report Romney camp not returning phone calls…
And via twitter:
West Wing Reports @WestWingReport
UVA Ctr. for Politics, (WWR’s partner) now says Obama likely to win Virginia (13 electoral votes).
Ohio declared for Obama. Election is over. Obama wins. 274 and counting with Florida, Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, and Alaska still out.
And Denver Post now calling Colorado for Obama as well (my home state!).
Now it’s all about seeing just how close Sam (and Nate) will be…
Amazingly on Fox they’re still not conceding. Seriously.
Charles Krauthammer now on Fox: Romney was up 5% nationally with one week to go until Superstorm cost him the lead. A tactical error, “no need to reinvent the party”.
Elizabeth Warren won in Massachusetts! <—- very happy about this.