Princeton Election Consortium

Innovations in democracy since 2004

Outcome: Biden 306 EV (D+1.2% from toss-up), Senate 50 D (D+1.0%)
Nov 3 polls: Biden 342 EV (D+5.3%), Senate 50-55 D (D+3.9%), House control D+4.6%
Moneyball states: President AZ NE-2 NV, Senate MT ME AK, Legislatures KS TX NC

Entries from February 25th, 2009

Presidential words

February 25th, 2009, 8:48am by Sam Wang

Via James Fallows, whose insights about presidential (and candidate) performances are worth following, here’s an interesting tool: SpeechWars, by Ben Reis. SpeechWars shows, over history, how often presidents have used a particular word in a State of the Union address. Although Obama’s address to the joint session of Congress is technically not a SOTU address, […]

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Tags: Politics

Obama’s signing…statement?

February 18th, 2009, 2:23pm by Sam Wang

Today at 6:50pm ET, I’ll be on CNN’s Situation Room to talk about left-handed presidents and their brains. It might be re-broadcast tomorrow at 6:50am ET and/or 8:55am. I free-associated a bit – let’s hope nothing embarrassing emerges. Update: here’s the video. Note that Obama curls his hand to avoid smearing ink. A more efficient […]

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Tags: 2008 Election

Lunchtime talk on Campaign ’08

February 5th, 2009, 3:36pm by Sam Wang

For locals – next Wednesday the 11th at noon, I’ll be giving a talk on a polling geek’s view of Campaign ’08. It’s part of our Office of Information Technology’s Lunch ‘n’ Learn Series. Come on by! Update: here’s the podcast. And here are my slides (PDF).

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Tags: 2008 Election