Photo credit: Callie Shell/Aurora for Time.
A long campaign
November 11th, 2008, 6:48pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2008 Election
Princeton Election Consortium
A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004
Jul 14: Biden 376 EV (D+6.0% from toss-up), Senate 53 D, 47 R (D+5.6%), House control D+8.0%
Moneyball states: President AK AR IA, Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC
Moneyball states: President AK AR IA, Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC
House and Senate 2020
House:
Senate:
Code on GithubState Margin Voter Power MT Bullock +3.5 100.0 KS Bollier +1.0 73.5 ME Gideon +4.0 72.2 IA Greenfield +2.5 58.8 KY Tie +0.0 36.9 NC Cunningham +2.0 20.2
Data and outputsThe Princeton Gerrymandering Project
Brain Books by Sam
Electoral index funds
Democrats (redistricting):
Republicans (redistricting and U.S. Senate):
Democrats (U.S. Senate):
President 2020
EV estimator over time
Meta-margin above toss-up:
All data and outputsState Margin Voter Power AK Trump +3.0 100.0 AR Trump +2.0 91.5 IA Trump +1.0 69.3 AZ Biden +1.7 61.7 FL Biden +6.0 57.6 GA Biden +2.0 53.3 OH Biden +1.0 50.9 NJ Biden +19.0 0.0
I’ll say…Barack’s lucky though, his job for the next four(hopefully eight) years is to be President…those of us who volunteered for him are now basically feeling empty like the Onion video. Thanks for continuing to post stuff :P
Hang in there William – visit http://www.change.gov. We’re just getting started. Sam, you run an excellent site, thank you.