Photo credit: Callie Shell/Aurora for Time.
A long campaign
November 11th, 2008, 6:48pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2008 Election
Princeton Election Consortium
Innovations in democracy since 2004
Oct 21: Biden 353 EV (D+5.2% from toss-up), Senate 53 D, 47 R (D+5.1%), House control D+5.0%
Moneyball states: President NV AZ PA, Senate AK MT IA, Legislatures KS TX NC
Moneyball states: President NV AZ PA, Senate AK MT IA, Legislatures KS TX NC
Moneyball: U.S. Senate
Senate and House 2020
Senate:
View all statesState Margin Voter Power AK Sullivan +4.0 100.0 MT Daines +2.0 96.8 IA Greenfield +4.0 66.5 ME Gideon +7.1 56.7 KS Bollier +2.0 52.7 SC Graham +2.5 21.3
House:
Code on Github
Data and outputsSam’s Brain Books
Redistricting Moneyball (and 50-State Guides)
- Redistricting Moneyball: key legislative races
- Moneyball explainer and video
- PEC's 50 State Guide to 2020
- Taniel's What's on the Ballot?
- Better Know A Ballot
- National Early Voting Tracker
Republicans (redistricting):
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President 2020
About the model
All graphs at once
EV estimator over time:
Meta-margin above toss-up:
Mode (state-by-state) snapshot:
View all statesState Margin Voter Power NV Biden +3.0 100.0 AZ Biden +4.0 54.7 PA Biden +5.0 47.6 NC Biden +3.0 38.1 IA Tie +0.0 35.6 ME-2 Biden +1.0 33.2 NJ Biden +22.0 5e-09
Code on Github
Data and outputs
I’ll say…Barack’s lucky though, his job for the next four(hopefully eight) years is to be President…those of us who volunteered for him are now basically feeling empty like the Onion video. Thanks for continuing to post stuff :P
Hang in there William – visit http://www.change.gov. We’re just getting started. Sam, you run an excellent site, thank you.