Photo credit: Callie Shell/Aurora for Time.
A long campaign
November 11th, 2008, 6:48pm by Sam Wang
Tags: 2008 Election
Princeton Election Consortium
A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004
Aug 04: Biden 370 EV (D+6.5% from toss-up), Senate 52 D, 48 R (D+3.8%), House control D+4.2%
Moneyball states: Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC
Moneyball states: Senate MT KS ME, Legislatures KS TX NC
House and Senate 2020
House:
Senate:
Code on GithubState Margin Voter Power MT Daines +2.6 100.0 KS Bollier +1.0 73.5 ME Gideon +5.0 72.2 IA Greenfield +2.0 58.8 KY McConnell +20.0 36.9 NC Cunningham +9.0 20.2
Data and outputsThe Princeton Gerrymandering Project
Brain Books by Sam
Electoral index funds
Democrats (redistricting):
Republicans (redistricting and U.S. Senate):
Democrats (U.S. Senate):
President 2020
EV estimator over time:
Meta-margin above toss-up:
Mode (state-by-state) snapshot:
State Margin Voter Power AK Trump +3.6 100.0 AR Trump +2.0 91.7 IA Trump +1.0 76.9 NV Biden +4.0 72.7 FL Biden +6.0 65.6 AZ Biden +4.4 65.0 GA Biden +1.0 62.0 NC Biden +2.0 59.3 NJ Biden +19.0 1.2e-07
Code on Github
Data and outputs
I’ll say…Barack’s lucky though, his job for the next four(hopefully eight) years is to be President…those of us who volunteered for him are now basically feeling empty like the Onion video. Thanks for continuing to post stuff :P
Hang in there William – visit http://www.change.gov. We’re just getting started. Sam, you run an excellent site, thank you.