Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as 'United Kingdom'

Brexit survey of the day

June 24th, 2016, 4:42am by Sam Wang

Absolutely brilliant poll on Brexit by @YouGov pic.twitter.com/EPevG1MOAW — Tancredi Palmeri (@tancredipalmeri) June 23, 2016 The UK voters who dominated the vote to Leave are also the ones who have to live with the outcome for the least amount of time. And then there is this fascinating essay in Dissent magazine, which describes two Englands: [...]

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Tags: United Kingdom

Brexit polls microscopically favor Remain

June 23rd, 2016, 11:00am by Sam Wang

Today, the UK votes on a referendum on whether to Remain in the European Union, or to Leave. In polls started since June 16th, the current median is Remain +1.0 +/- 1.8% (n=7; median +/- estimated SEM; probability of a lead among decided respondents=70%). Where a single pollster conducted multiple polls in the last week, [...]

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Tags: United Kingdom

The other UK losers: pollsters, Liberal Democrats, and 50% of Scots voters

May 9th, 2015, 9:34am by Sam Wang

Tweet !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?’http’:'https’;if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+’://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js’;fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, ‘script’, ‘twitter-wjs’); (reanalyzed data from Lord Ashcroft’s post-election poll) Contrary to all pre-election polls, the Conservatives won an outright majority, with 329 out of 650 seats. The final popular vote was 37% for Conservatives, 31% for Labour, where a near-tie was predicted. But the Labour Party was not the only loser on [...]

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Tags: United Kingdom