Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as 'Uncategorized'

Happy New Year!

December 31st, 2015, 6:22pm by Sam Wang

Happy new year, all! Predictions for 2016, anyone? Ideally with some logical support, but oh heck, it’s New Year’s Eve – let your freak flag fly. Aspirations?

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Happy Thanksgiving!

November 26th, 2015, 3:30pm by Sam Wang

I know it’s a time for people to come together, eat, and get into conversation. Sometimes things can get contentious. Here’s a primer on What To Say To Your Frequentist Uncle. Lots of good stuff there, including a question on what “never” means. Happy Thanksgiving, everyone! Update:

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There is a great deal of activity in the field

August 25th, 2015, 6:39am by Sam Wang

I’m on “vacation,” working on projects that sometimes remind me of this quote from Richard Feynman. Replace the green block with an area that comes to mind.

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Train travel is incredibly safe

May 13th, 2015, 9:08am by Sam Wang

Tweet !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?’http’:'https’;if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+’://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js’;fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, ‘script’, ‘twitter-wjs’); Television “news” media, as is often the case, is good at blowing an event out of proportion. In the wake of the Amtrak train crash (and hey, I am totally against train crashes!), we have this: 230 people killed in train accidents in the last year alone. Very scary. — [...]

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What to watch in tomorrow’s UK election

May 7th, 2015, 12:22am by Sam Wang

Michael Mosettig explains it well. I cannot improve on what he says. Go read that. Then follow live returns here and projections here. Current projections by electionforecast.co.uk indicate considerable losses by the two ruling parties, the Conservatives (281 seats) and the Liberal Democrats (27 seats). With a current forecast total of 308 seats, these two parties [...]

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Did the NYT pay Jill Abramson less?

May 16th, 2014, 9:33am by Sam Wang

According to Ken Auletta at The New Yorker, Abramson was fired when she found out she was being systematically paid less than her male predecessors. New York Times publisher Arthur Sulzberger, Jr., appears to deny this. Can these statements be reconciled with one another? Yes…though Sulzberger seems to be parsing his words rather carefully.

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Lou Reed, 1942-2013: Shut the door!

October 27th, 2013, 7:43pm by Sam Wang

The Velvet Underground was one of the first really interesting bands I listened to. They are simple, but amazing. I learned about them around 1982 in an interview with R.E.M., who revered them. Also, my house at Caltech had a rock band composed entirely of physics majors, who only did V.U. covers. This was within [...]

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Nate Silver’s move

July 24th, 2013, 11:04am by Sam Wang

By now most readers know about Nate Silver’s move from the New York Times to ESPN and ABC. ESPN purchased the FiveThirtyEight domain, suggesting a significant commitment by Silver. The move fits with Silver’s roots in sports, as well as his outsider status with regular journalists. ABC will provide excellent broadcast opportunities during election seasons. [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · Uncategorized

Review of The Signal and the Noise

February 14th, 2013, 8:22pm by Sam Wang

In Science magazine, Ben Campbell and I have a review of Nate Silver’s book, The Signal and the Noise. Briefly…it was good for people who don’t know any math or science, and was best when he recounted his own exploits in poker. But there were some flaws, for instance on the use of statistics in science. [...]

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In search of the nerd/poet gene

December 26th, 2012, 11:00pm by Sam Wang

Today, I ask for your help with my laboratory research. It will only take a few minutes. The concept of a “physics gene” or “poetry gene” might not be a joke. Intellectual predispositions are likely to be driven in part by genes – including those that drive autism, mood disorders, and substance abuse. My students and [...]

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