Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as 'Site News'

Polling conspiracy theories (your response)

September 2nd, 2012, 6:26am by Sam Wang

I am impressed with the response to my question yesterday. Readers, go see the comment thread. Also, thank you all for the kind words. Yesterday my colleague Paul Starr brought up points relevant to this discussion: (1) Voter polarization is extreme. In the Presidential race, the fraction who are undecided appears to be extremely low [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics · President · Senate · Site News

Technical notes

August 8th, 2012, 8:54am by Sam Wang

I’ll move a few technical comments to the right-hand “Meta-analysis thread” sidebar. Easier for casual readers and geeks alike.

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Tags: Site News

Analysis issues (part 1)

July 9th, 2012, 9:43am by Sam Wang

Most of you won’t notice the details, but here are some issues on my mind.

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Tags: 2012 Election · Site News

The mailbag

January 4th, 2012, 9:13am by Sam Wang

Gerrymandering makes for interesting mail! Here are some excerpts. Journalist P.H.R. writes: I still don’t grasp how your methodology is supposed to identify non-geographic partisan gerrymandering as a distinct phenomenon. If it did, that would be super. But I just don’t follow…..it doesn’t bother me — at this stage, anyway — to ignore other concerns, [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Site News

Thoughts on Inauguration Eve

January 20th, 2009, 1:56am by Sam Wang

First – for a list of ways to watch tomorrow’s festivities, go here. Online (C-SPAN, Hulu) as well as via MSNBC in a Starbucks near you. Now then… For a look back at 2008, Pollster.com has an excellent roundup. Did you know that 30% of all votes were cast early? That more than ever, the [...]

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Tags: 2008 Election · Site News

The 500,000th site view…

October 8th, 2008, 9:09pm by Sam Wang

…will occur around 1:00am tonight. Our per-day traffic is about 5-10% that of Pollster.com, Electoral-Vote.com, or FiveThirtyEight. Not so bad for a site that went dormant in 2004 and re-launched in late July. Thank you all. (And you are most welcome to exit this site via my ActBlue page.)

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Tags: Site News

Spacetime rift delays update until noon

October 7th, 2008, 11:42am by Sam Wang

Andrew says there was “a routing problem this morning between the University and quite a few outside websites — a split in the internet, if you will.” For the next EV estimator update, check back at noon…

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Tags: 2008 Election · Meta-analysis · Site News

Stretching your political dollars

October 5th, 2008, 3:03pm by Sam Wang

When you give money to political campaigns, you deserve to see good value for your donation. Democrats are well positioned to win the White House and make substantial gains in the House and Senate. Where is your money most effective? I don’t ask for donations to keep this site going. Instead, I ask people to [...]

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Tags: 2008 Election · Site News

Obama’s continuing rise, and a criticism from Silver

October 1st, 2008, 12:38pm by Sam Wang

The EV estimator is continuing its sharp rise (now Obama 322 EV, McCain 216 EV). It is catching up with the increase in support for Obama, which has been maintained after the first debate. National polls are now at a median of Obama +5.5 +/- 0.8% (n=12, Sept. 25-30; updated 12:53am). The EV estimator will [...]

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Tags: 2008 Election · Site News

New rules

September 30th, 2008, 9:26pm by Sam Wang

As we head into the last five weeks of the campaign, polls are coming more frequently. In response, we are making two changes to the Meta-Analysis: (a) the averaging rule and (b) the update schedule.

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Tags: 2008 Election · Meta-analysis · Site News