Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as 'Redistricting'

SCOTUS Tea Leaf Watch

May 23rd, 2018, 8:51am by Sam Wang

The anti-labor Epic Systems decision reminds us that the Supreme Court is fundamentally conservative in its outlook – in the political sense, not a textualist sense. Edith Roberts has the roundup. FantasySCOTUS watch: In this case, the top-14 punters. Gill v. Whitford: 9 guess affirm, 5 reverse. Benisek v. Lamone: 10 reverse, 5 affirm, 1 [...]

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Tags: Redistricting · Supreme Court

Tea Leaves II: FantasySCOTUS renders a verdict

May 5th, 2018, 2:09am by Sam Wang

(Welcome to readers of SCOTUSblog! -Sam) Postscript: Obviously, you can do what I did here for other cases. You are welcome to post your results in comments. Better yet, if you want to write a program to do this automatically, that would be quite welcome! This week, Heather Gerken, election law scholar and Dean of [...]

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Tags: Redistricting · Supreme Court

Tea Leaves on Partisan Gerrymandering

April 25th, 2018, 11:37am by Sam Wang

Update: At Election Law Blog, Rick Pildes of NYU points out slightly different tea leaves. In his reading, Kennedy got stuck writing two October opinions because he had to pick up pieces left by a failed Gorsuch opinion. Yesterday the Supreme Court heard oral arguments on a racial gerrymandering case, Abbott v. Perez. That’s a [...]

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Tags: Redistricting · Supreme Court

One last gerrymandering case…Abbott v. Perez in Texas

April 23rd, 2018, 11:16am by Sam Wang

This week, the Supreme Court hears one last case on gerrymandering for the term. This one’s a racial-gerrymandering case, Abbott v. Perez. The history of the case is long and tortured – see Ian Millhiser’s summary. Also, here’s great coverage from Alexa Ura at the Texas Tribune. This case is in a separate category than [...]

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Tags: Redistricting

At the Harvard Law Review Blog

April 11th, 2018, 8:19pm by Sam Wang

Are the Justices struggling with the many partisan #gerrymandering tests? Are you? @SamWangPhD of @Princeton helps us all out, on #HLRBlog: “An Antidote for Gobbledygook: Organizing the Judge’s Partisan Gerrymandering Toolkit into a Two-Part Framework” https://t.co/iZN381X3CO pic.twitter.com/6la2v5KZXC — Harvard Law Review (@HarvLRev) April 11, 2018 At the Harvard Law Review Blog, I lay out a [...]

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Tags: Redistricting

An Antidote for Gobbledygook: Organizing The Judge’s Partisan-Gerrymandering Toolkit

April 7th, 2018, 3:04am by Sam Wang

The Supreme Court appears to be at loggerheads in its search for a single standard for partisan gerrymandering. Here, Sam Wang and Brian Remlinger collect the many statistical standards into a single toolkit. Basically, all the tests fit into two categories: inequality of opportunity and durable outcomes. Read our working draft, which we have uploaded as [...]

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Tags: Redistricting

Today’s big partisan gerrymandering case: Maryland (Benisek v. Lamone)

March 28th, 2018, 11:40am by Sam Wang

Leaving SCOTUS now. There are almost certainly at least five votes to strike down Maryland’s partisan gerrymander, but no clarity on the equally important question of HOW the Court will do so. — Ian Millhiser (@imillhiser) March 28, 2018 So, oral arguments in Benisek just ended. Here’s the transcript! A round-up of the case is [...]

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Tags: Redistricting

Job opportunity – Legal/Statistical Analyst, Princeton Gerrymandering Project

March 26th, 2018, 4:41pm by brian

The Princeton Gerrymandering Project is hiring a Legal Analyst! The PGP combines law with statistics to develop and explain mathematical tools to detect partisan gerrymandering. This person will join a team with expertise in statistics, law, computational simulation, mathematical rigor, and practical policy. As the 2020 redistricting looms, the PGP is taking the fight to [...]

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Tags: Redistricting

Game over in Pennsylvania!

March 19th, 2018, 3:49pm by Sam Wang

Today came two rulings. First, a three-judge court turned down a challenge to the redrawn Pennyslvania Congressional map. Then, a few hours later, the U.S. Supreme Court did the same. These were long-shot cases, since they would have involved finding that the Pennsylvania Commonwealth Constitution was in conflict with the United States Constitution, for example [...]

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Tags: 2018 Election · 2020 Election · Redistricting

Introducing the new Pennsylvania Congressional map

February 19th, 2018, 3:20pm by Sam Wang

Here’s the new Congressional map for Pennsylvania, drawn by advisor to the court Nate Persily. I think it’s a landmark contribution to the understanding of partisan fairness, in one of the most politically heterogeneous states in the Union – “Pennsatucky.” For anyone who’s drawn such maps, this particular one is a pleasure to look at. [...]

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Tags: 2018 Election · Redistricting