Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as 'Princeton'

Focusing efforts wisely

October 27th, 2010, 9:52am by Sam Wang

I’ve received correspondence from a Democratic activist taking me to task. I pointed out that his Democratic Congressman was likely to win by a large margin. He thought that my saying this would breed complacency. Putting aside the idea that very many Democrats this election season are complacent, there is a critical point I must [...]

[Read more →]

Tags: Politics · Princeton

“We will restore science to its rightful place”

January 20th, 2009, 3:06pm by Sam Wang

Today people gathered in halls all around campus to watch the Inauguration. It’s finals week, so classrooms were available. I watched it at the Center for Human Values with colleagues and friends. President Obama’s address was solid and to the point. He pulled no punches about the problems ahead. Three quotes from led to outbursts [...]

[Read more →]

Tags: Princeton

State polls – fresher than you think

October 21st, 2008, 2:24pm by Sam Wang

As you can see, the Meta-Analysis has taken a downtick. This suggests that the race has leveled off – or may drift toward parity a bit. Notably, state polls now lag national polls by only a few days, making them an excellent source of current information about the race.

[Read more →]

Tags: 2008 Election · Princeton

Nobels

October 13th, 2008, 11:40am by Sam Wang

Today, Paul Krugman, professor of economics and international affairs here at Princeton, won the Nobel Prize in Economics for his work on international trade. Here’s his quirky, fascinating essay on how he thinks. Congratulations, Paul! The Chemistry prize is in an area that touches my research…

[Read more →]

Tags: Princeton

On campus tonight: race, environment, and IQ

October 9th, 2008, 9:16am by Sam Wang

Here’s a topic far from our daily discussion. But it’s an important subject, one that often gets mishandled badly. Tonight I’m hosting as a speaker Prof. James R. Flynn, a real maverick.

[Read more →]

Tags: Princeton

Purple polls

October 9th, 2008, 8:44am by Sam Wang

I’ve now started making “Purple Poll” and “Red/Blue Poll” maps using poll-data from RealClearPolitics. I hope to update the maps on an almost daily basis between now and the election. You can see the maps at http://www.princeton.edu/~rvdb/JAVA/election2008/. -Bob Vanderbei

[Read more →]

Tags: 2008 Election · Princeton

For locals: a talk on the Meta-Analysis

October 2nd, 2008, 9:00am by Sam Wang

Tomorrow (Friday) at noon, I’ll give a talk in Kosuke Imai and Dustin Tingley’s political methodology seminar. If you’re nearby, you’re welcome to attend. Of course, the math will all be included. The blurb is here (PDF). Update: Here’s another local event, happening next Tuesday: a panel on the reliability of state polls featuring both [...]

[Read more →]

Tags: 2008 Election · Meta-analysis · Princeton

Princeton economists on the Wall Street crisis

September 30th, 2008, 2:21pm by Sam Wang

A week ago, five Princeton economists held a public discussion on the current crisis: Hyun Shin, Markus Brunnermeier, Harrison Hong, Paul Krugman, and Alan Blinder. I wasn’t there, but the word is that it was edifying but frightening, and well worth the hour to watch it. [YouTube video]

[Read more →]

Tags: Princeton

Primary maps and Purple America

September 30th, 2008, 10:00am by Sam Wang

(From Bob Vanderbei, chair of Operations Research and Finance. -Sam) The primaries are well behind us but I thought I might point out that I’ve made some “Purple Primary” maps. You can check them out here. Of course, in the primaries, the races were intra-party. Hence, purpality is only a measure of voter turnout, which [...]

[Read more →]

Tags: 2008 Election · Princeton