Princeton Election Consortium

A first draft of electoral history. Since 2004

Entries Tagged as 'Politics'

Reince’s plan, Carrico’s folly

January 25th, 2013, 8:59am by Sam Wang

Here’s an article by Steve Coll on gerrymandering in the New Yorker. The subject is not dying away – quite the opposite. Some of you thought that the effect I have detected – antidemocratic outcomes in PA, OH, MI, NC, VA, FL, and IN in 2012… …was somehow peculiar to their population patterns. I’ve been [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · Politics

The mailbag

January 5th, 2013, 4:00pm by Sam Wang

Gerrymandering makes for interesting mail! Here are some excerpts from activists, a journalist, political scientist, and a few redistricters.

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics · Site News

Gerrymandering code – for the do-it-yourselfers

January 3rd, 2013, 10:43am by Sam Wang

For the true hardcore…A version of the MATLAB code I used is now available.

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Meta-analysis · Politics

Gerrymanders, Part 2: How many voters were disenfranchised?

January 2nd, 2013, 2:32pm by Sam Wang

(Welcome, redditors! And for the hardcore nerds…) Redistricting is a large and sometimes arcane subject. Take a look at the comments section for the last post. Some of you are quite knowledgeable on the subject. Others are new to it. Before I continue, I’ll lay out some basics, and explain what it is about this problem [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics

Gerrymanders, Part 1: Busting the both-sides-do-it myth

December 30th, 2012, 12:29pm by Sam Wang

The Washington Post Second Annual Wonky Awards are out. Wow, there I am for Best Election Modeler. Thank you! (Mental note: If I ever meet the Worst Modeler recipient, Dick Morris, remember to avoid shaking hands. The whole particle-antiparticle thing. We’d annihilate or get stuck together. Either outcome is bad.) >>> As current negotiations over [...]

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Tags: 2012 Election · House · Politics

Scientific American’s gun error

December 22nd, 2012, 10:43pm by Sam Wang

Update: A reader has pointed out that a substantial fraction of gun deaths are suicides (homicide data are here), raising a complication. However, this point is well-established in peer-reviewed literature (PDF): gun ownership increases death rates across the board: suicides, homicides, accidents… For more discussion of the relationship between guns and homicide, see the work [...]

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Tags: Politics

What’s your favorite chart of 2012?

December 20th, 2012, 10:45pm by Sam Wang

Nerds around the blogosphere seem to be collecting their favorite charts of the year. Obviously, I can’t pick my own. But to recall the Woody Allen joke… …I can pick my second-favorite.

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Tags: 2012 Election · Politics

Did the federal ban on assault weapons matter?

December 14th, 2012, 11:49pm by Sam Wang

After the mass shooting of 20 children and 7 adults in Connecticut, I asked: (1) Are such shootings on the rise? and (2) Would a gun control law make a difference in such events? In a situation like this, it is common to hear that the weapons used were acquired legally (for instance, see Ezra [...]

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Tags: Politics

We’re back!

December 5th, 2012, 9:40am by Sam Wang

After a rest, I cautiously re-enter the fray. Analysis of polls is far less interesting when there’s no horserace. Let’s just say that I don’t expect NPR to drop by today. Other themes from this summer remain important, including filibuster reform and gerrymandering. Gerrymandering lends itself well to what we do here. Stay tuned! Filibuster reform: [...]

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Tags: Politics

With Jay Ackroyd at 9pm (soon!)

November 8th, 2012, 7:25pm by Sam Wang

Hi, all. A bit inundated with media, and also recovering. However…join me with Jay Ackroyd on a webcast of Virtually Speaking, in 1.5 hours – at 9pm Eastern. See you! call in: 646 200 3440

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Tags: 2012 Election · Meta-analysis · Politics