Update: Thanks to today’s Washington Post story by David Farenthold about Trump’s lewd comments about what sounds like sexual assault, we may see a test of my thesis that voters are close to immovable. However, I should point out that the Meta-Margin could go to Clinton +7% and still be consistent with my argument. In The [...]
Entries Tagged as 'Politics'
October 7th, 2016, 1:00pm by Sam Wang
October 6th, 2016, 8:21pm by Sam Wang
The issue of voting rights in America has been long debated and has changed dramatically since the country was founded. In episode 14, Julian Zelizer and I interview Michael Waldman, author of “The Fight to Vote,” a book chronicling the long struggle to win voting rights for all citizens. Listen!
September 29th, 2016, 3:36pm by Sam Wang
Julian Zelizer and I had the pleasure of interviewing historian Rick Perlstein on the subject of the “alt-right.” Fringe movements on the right have been around a long time, and Perlstein has studied these movements deeply, starting with his classic book Before The Storm. It was a fascinating conversation – take a listen.
September 26th, 2016, 12:14am by Sam Wang
Today at 10:00am Eastern, I’ll be on WHYY-FM’s Radio Times with Mary Cummings-Jordan for an hour-long program on polls and the campaign. (Did you miss it? Archived here.) If you’re in the Princeton area, at noon I’ll be giving a talk in the American Politics Seminar. My focus will be this year’s race, polarization, and [...]
July 28th, 2016, 2:25pm by Sam Wang
Text just now from a senior House Republican who gave me permission to tweet this: “We were supposed to make that sort of speech." — Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) July 28, 2016 In case you missed it, it’s here. A must-watch speech for members of either party. President Obama is appealing to patriotism and love of [...]
June 15th, 2016, 9:03am by Sam Wang
My latest, in the Washington Post.
May 21st, 2016, 7:56am by Sam Wang
Pro-voting activists are constantly trying to increase the rate of voting. They often get interested in behavioral interventions such as voter contact. Successful interventions typically boost turnout by a few percentage points. More generally, the smallness of any get-out-the-vote’s effort means that I don’t have to account for it in any of the polling analysis [...]
November 2nd, 2015, 2:58pm by Sam Wang
Tweet // Today, I filed a friend-of-the-court brief in the Harris v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission case (S. Ct. 14-232). The brief can be found here (for a summary of other briefs, see the Arizona Eagletarian blog). In it, I argue that the Supreme Court should reject Harris’s case on the grounds that there was [...]
October 8th, 2015, 11:25pm by Sam Wang
Tweet // In Davis v. Bandemer and Vieth v. Jubelirer, the Supreme Court has held that partisan gerrymandering is justiciable (i.e. within their scope to regulate), but that a manageable standard does not, in their view, yet exist. Here is a draft of my paper on how to define such a standard. Prong #1 is [...]
October 7th, 2015, 7:05pm by Sam Wang
To me, today’s news that Gallup is sitting out the primaries, and maybe even the general election, is not all that notable. The primaries are a hard-to-poll question; any race with more than two candidates seems to have issues (see the UK and Israel as examples). And the general election? It’s such a well-populated space, [...]